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More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Million Cities Holdings Limited's (HKG:2892) Shares After Tumbling 31%

More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Million Cities Holdings Limited's (HKG:2892) Shares After Tumbling 31%

萬城控股有限公司(HKG:2892)股價下跌31%後,可能會有更多不愉快的驚喜等着。
Simply Wall St ·  10/14 18:31

Million Cities Holdings Limited (HKG:2892) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 31% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 26% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Million Cities Holdings' P/S ratio of 0.6x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Real Estate industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.7x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

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SEHK:2892 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 14th 2024

How Million Cities Holdings Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Million Cities Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Million Cities Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

Million Cities Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 56%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 70% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 5.1% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Million Cities Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What Does Million Cities Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Million Cities Holdings looks to be in line with the rest of the Real Estate industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

The fact that Million Cities Holdings currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Million Cities Holdings (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Million Cities Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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