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China State Construction Development Holdings' (HKG:830) Earnings Growth Rate Lags the 24% CAGR Delivered to Shareholders

China State Construction Development Holdings' (HKG:830) Earnings Growth Rate Lags the 24% CAGR Delivered to Shareholders

中國建設發展控股集團(HKG:830)的盈利增長率低於爲股東提供的24%複合年增長率
Simply Wall St ·  2024/10/14 15:58

The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. For instance, the price of China State Construction Development Holdings Limited (HKG:830) stock is up an impressive 151% over the last five years. In more good news, the share price has risen 13% in thirty days. But this could be related to good market conditions -- stocks in its market are up 19% in the last month.

在任何股票上,您的最大虧損(假設不使用槓桿)是您的全部資金的100%。但當您選擇一家真正蓬勃發展的公司時,您可以獲得超過100%的回報。例如,中國建築股份有限公司(HKG:830)股票的價格在過去五年中大幅上漲了151%。更令人振奮的是,股價在三十天內上漲了13%。但這可能與良好的市場狀況有關--其市場股票在過去一個月內上漲了19%。

While the stock has fallen 9.3% this week, it's worth focusing on the longer term and seeing if the stocks historical returns have been driven by the underlying fundamentals.

儘管這支股票本週下跌了9.3%,但值得關注的是長期情況,並查看股票的歷史回報是否由潛在基本因素推動。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

引用巴菲特的話,「船隻會在世界各地航行,但扁平地球協會將空前盛行。市場上的價格和價值將繼續存在巨大差異… 」檢查市場情緒如何隨時間變化的一種方法是查看公司的股價與每股收益(EPS)之間的互動。

Over half a decade, China State Construction Development Holdings managed to grow its earnings per share at 22% a year. So the EPS growth rate is rather close to the annualized share price gain of 20% per year. This indicates that investor sentiment towards the company has not changed a great deal. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.

在半個世紀的時間裏,中國建築股份有限公司(China State Construction Development Holdings)成功以每年22%的速度增長每股收益。因此,每股收益的增長率與每年20%的股價漲幅非常接近。這表明投資者對該公司的情緒變化並不大。相反,股價大致跟蹤着每股收益的增長。

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖顯示了EPS隨時間變化的情況(點擊圖像以顯示確切值)。

big
SEHK:830 Earnings Per Share Growth October 14th 2024
SEHK:830每股收益增長2024年10月14日

We know that China State Construction Development Holdings has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

我們知道中國建設發展控股在過去三年裏改善了底線,但未來會如何?看一下我們免費報告,了解其財務狀況如何隨時間變化可能會非常值得。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of China State Construction Development Holdings, it has a TSR of 193% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要考慮任何股票的總股東回報,以及股價回報。股價回報僅反映了股價變動,TSR則包括了股息價值(假設已再投資)以及任何折扣資本籌集或分拆的好處。可以說,TSR提供了對股票產生的回報更全面的圖片。就中國建設發展控股而言,過去5年的TSR爲193%。超過了我們之前提到的股價回報。毫無疑問,股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧!

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

China State Construction Development Holdings shareholders are down 10% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 23%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 24% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that China State Construction Development Holdings is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

中國建設發展控股的股東今年虧損了10%(包括股息),但市場本身上漲了23%。即使優質股票的股價有時也會下跌,但我們希望在對一家企業的基本指標看到改善之前,不要過於感興趣。好在,長期股東已經賺到了錢,每年增長24%達半個世紀。最近的拋售可能是一個機會,因此值得檢查基本數據,以尋找長期增長趨勢的跡象。我發現長期來看股價作爲業務績效的代理很有趣。但爲了真正獲得洞察力,我們也需要考慮其他信息。儘管如此,請注意,中國建設發展控股在我們的投資分析中顯示了1個警示標誌,您應該了解...

But note: China State Construction Development Holdings may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但要注意:中國建設發展控股可能不是最佳買入股票。因此,請查看這份免費的有趣公司名單,其中包括過去收益增長(以及未來增長預測)。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了當前在香港證券交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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