share_log

Is Oriental Pearl GroupLtd (SHSE:600637) A Risky Investment?

Is Oriental Pearl GroupLtd (SHSE:600637) A Risky Investment?

東方明珠集團有限公司(SHSE:600637)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/10/15 09:34

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Oriental Pearl Group Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600637) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

一些人認爲,投資者思考風險的最佳方式是考慮波動性而不是債務,但禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過,「波動性與風險遠非同義詞」。因此,顯而易見的是,在考慮任何特定股票有多大風險時,您需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務可能會拖垮一家公司。正如許多其他公司一樣,東方明珠股份有限公司(SHSE:600637)利用了債務。但更重要的問題是:這些債務到底產生了多少風險?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

負債是幫助企業增長的一種工具,但如果企業無力償還其債權人,那麼它的存在就取決於債權人。 最糟糕的情況是,如果一家公司無法償還其債權人,它將破產。 然而,一種更常見(但仍然痛苦的)情況是,它必須以低價籌集新的股本,從而永久稀釋股東的權益。 當然,負債的好處是它通常代表廉價的資本,特別是當它取代具有高回報率再投資能力的公司的稀釋時。 在考慮一家公司的債務水平時,第一步是考慮其現金和債務的總和。

What Is Oriental Pearl GroupLtd's Debt?

東方明珠股份有限公司的債務是什麼?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 Oriental Pearl GroupLtd had debt of CN¥2.78b, up from CN¥2.31b in one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥17.0b in cash, leading to a CN¥14.2b net cash position.

下面的圖片顯示,在2024年6月,東方明珠股份有限公司的債務爲27.8億人民幣,比一年前的23.1億人民幣有所增加。但另一方面,它還有170億人民幣的現金,導致淨現金爲142億人民幣。

big
SHSE:600637 Debt to Equity History October 15th 2024
SHSE:600637 債務權益歷史數據 2024年10月15日

How Strong Is Oriental Pearl GroupLtd's Balance Sheet?

東方明珠集團有限公司的資產負債表有多堅實?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Oriental Pearl GroupLtd had liabilities of CN¥8.45b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.66b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥17.0b as well as receivables valued at CN¥2.90b due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥9.80b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我們可以從最近的資產負債表看到,東方明珠集團有限公司有84.5億人民幣的一年內到期負債,以及166億人民幣的一年後到期負債。 抵消這些義務,它持有170億人民幣的現金,以及價值29億人民幣的應收款項,12個月內到期。 因此,它實際上比總負債多有98億人民幣的流動資產。

This surplus strongly suggests that Oriental Pearl GroupLtd has a rock-solid balance sheet (and the debt is of no concern whatsoever). Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox. Simply put, the fact that Oriental Pearl GroupLtd has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這種剩餘資產強烈表明東方明珠集團有限公司擁有堅實的資產負債表(債務完全不成問題)。鑑於這一事實,我們認爲其資產負債表和黃牛一樣強壯。 簡而言之,東方明珠集團有限公司擁有比債務更多現金的事實,可以說是它能夠安全管理債務的一個良好指標。

Better yet, Oriental Pearl GroupLtd grew its EBIT by 291% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Oriental Pearl GroupLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

更好的是,東方明珠集團有限公司去年其稅息前利潤率(EBIT)增長了291%,這是一個令人印象深刻的進步。 這一增長將使其更容易償還未來的債務。 當您分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是重點關注的領域。 但更重要的是未來的收入,這將決定東方明珠集團有限公司今後能否維持健康的資產負債表。 所以,如果您想知道專業人士的看法,您可能會對分析師利潤預測的這份免費報告感興趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Oriental Pearl GroupLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last two years, Oriental Pearl GroupLtd's free cash flow amounted to 37% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

但我們最終的考慮也很重要,因爲一家公司無法用紙面利潤支付債務;它需要冷硬的現金。 東方明珠集團有限公司的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但仔細看一下企業將其稅息前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,將影響其管理債務的需求和能力。 在過去的兩年中,東方明珠集團有限公司的自由現金流量相當於其稅息前利潤的37%,低於我們的預期。 這種疲弱的現金轉化使其更難處理債務。

Summing Up

總之

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Oriental Pearl GroupLtd has CN¥14.2b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 291% over the last year. So is Oriental Pearl GroupLtd's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Oriental Pearl GroupLtd is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is a bit concerning...

雖然調查公司的債務是明智的,但在這種情況下,東方明珠集團有142億人民幣的淨現金和一個看起來不錯的資產負債表。過去一年,其EBIt增長了291%令我們印象深刻。那麼,東方明珠集團的債務是否存在風險?在我們看來似乎並不是。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中最多了解到債務情況。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表之外的風險。請注意,我們的投資分析顯示,東方明珠集團有2個警示信號,其中1個有點令人擔憂...

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論