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Is FIH Mobile (HKG:2038) Using Too Much Debt?

Is FIH Mobile (HKG:2038) Using Too Much Debt?

富智康集團移動是否使用了過多的債務?
Simply Wall St ·  10/14 22:16

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that FIH Mobile Limited (HKG:2038) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

傳奇基金經理李錄(得到了查理·芒格的支持)曾經說過,「最大的投資風險不在於價格的波動,而在於是否會遭受持續的資本損失。」 當我們考慮一家公司有多大的風險時,我們總是喜歡看看它使用債務的情況,因爲債務超載可能導致崩潰。我們可以看到富智康集團(HKG:2038)確實在業務中使用了債務。但更重要的問題是:這些債務造成了多大的風險?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時有危險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

當企業無法用自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌集資本時,債務和其他負債對企業變得風險。資本主義的一個重要特徵是「創造性破壞」過程,在這個過程中,失敗的企業會被它們的銀行家無情地清算。儘管這並不常見,我們經常看到負債的公司因爲放貸人迫使它們以低價籌集資本而導致股東永久性稀釋。當然,債務的好處是,它通常代表廉價資本,特別是當它取代公司能夠以高投資回報率再投資時的稀釋時。當我們考慮一家公司使用債務時,我們首先看現金和債務的組合。

How Much Debt Does FIH Mobile Carry?

富智康集團承擔了多少債務?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 FIH Mobile had debt of US$865.8m, up from US$710.9m in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds US$1.76b in cash, so it actually has US$898.8m net cash.

下面的圖片(點擊可查看更詳細信息)顯示,2024年6月,富智康集團的債務爲86580萬美元,比一年前的71090萬美元增加了。然而,其資產負債表顯示,它持有17.6億美元現金,因此實際上淨現金爲89880萬美元。

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SEHK:2038 Debt to Equity History October 15th 2024
SEHK:2038債務資本比歷史數據2024年10月15日

A Look At FIH Mobile's Liabilities

富智康集團負債情況一覽

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that FIH Mobile had liabilities of US$3.15b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$19.9m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$1.76b as well as receivables valued at US$849.1m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$555.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我們可以從最近的資產負債表看到,富智康集團有的短期到期負債爲31.5億美元,長期到期負債爲1.99億美元。抵消這些義務的是,它有17.6億美元的現金以及價值8491萬美元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比現金和近期應收賬款合計高出5559萬美元。

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$893.4m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on FIH Mobile's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. While it does have liabilities worth noting, FIH Mobile also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if FIH Mobile can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

相對於其市值89.34億美元,這個赤字相當可觀,因此確實表明股東應該關注富智康集團的債務使用。如果其貸款人要求其加固資產負債表,股東可能會面臨嚴重稀釋。雖然它確實有值得注意的債務,但富智康集團也比債務多現金,所以我們相當有信心地認爲它可以安全地管理債務。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解債務的大部分信息。但最終業務未來的盈利能力將決定富智康集團是否能隨着時間加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,您可以查看這份顯示分析師盈利預測的免費報告。

Over 12 months, FIH Mobile made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to US$5.7b, which is a fall of 29%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

在過去12個月,富智康集團在EBIT水平上出現虧損,並且其營業收入下降至570億美元,同比下降了29%。這讓我們感到十分擔憂。

So How Risky Is FIH Mobile?

那麼富智康集團有多大風險?

Although FIH Mobile had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it generated positive free cash flow of US$419m. So although it is loss-making, it doesn't seem to have too much near-term balance sheet risk, keeping in mind the net cash. With revenue growth uninspiring, we'd really need to see some positive EBIT before mustering much enthusiasm for this business. When I consider a company to be a bit risky, I think it is responsible to check out whether insiders have been reporting any share sales. Luckily, you can click here ito see our graphic depicting FIH Mobile insider transactions.

儘管富智康集團在過去12個月EBIT方面虧損,但它產生了4190萬美元的正自由現金流。因此,儘管虧損,考慮到淨現金,它似乎沒有太多短期資產負債表風險。隨着收入增長乏力,我們確實需要看到一些正面EBIT才能爲這家企業感到熱情。當我認爲一家公司有點風險時,我認爲檢查內部人員是否報告任何股票銷售是負責任的。幸運的是,您可以點擊這裏查看我們的圖表,展示富智康集團內部交易。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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