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Is CETC Digital TechnologyLtd (SHSE:600850) A Risky Investment?

Is CETC Digital TechnologyLtd (SHSE:600850) A Risky Investment?

中國電子科技集團數字技術股份有限公司(SHSE:600850)是一個風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  10/15 18:54

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies CETC Digital Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600850) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

當David Iben說'波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。',他說得很好。因此,看起來明智的投資者知道,在評估公司風險時,債務是一個非常重要的因素,因爲債務通常涉及破產。與許多其他公司一樣,電科數字科技股份有限公司(SHSE:600850)利用債務。但是這筆債務對股東構成了擔憂嗎?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候負債才是一個問題?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般來說,僅當一家公司無法輕鬆進行還款時,才會真正面臨債務問題,即無法通過籌集資本或自有現金流來還款。企業失敗會被殘酷地清算,這也是資本主義中「創造性毀滅」的常態。然而,更常見的(但仍然痛苦的)情況是,公司必須以低價募集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東的權益。當然,有許多公司使用債務來資助增長,並沒有產生任何負面後果。因此,在考慮企業使用多少債務時,首先要看現金和債務。

What Is CETC Digital TechnologyLtd's Debt?

CETC數字科技有限公司的債務是多少?

As you can see below, CETC Digital TechnologyLtd had CN¥114.0m of debt at June 2024, down from CN¥241.8m a year prior. However, it does have CN¥847.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥733.0m.

如下所示,截至2024年6月,CETC Digital TechnologyLtd的債務爲1.14億元人民幣,低於前一年的2.418億元人民幣。然而,它確實有8.47億元人民幣的現金抵消這筆債務,導致淨現金達到7.33億元人民幣。

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SHSE:600850 Debt to Equity History October 15th 2024
SHSE:600850債務與股東權益歷史記錄2024年10月15日

A Look At CETC Digital TechnologyLtd's Liabilities

電科數字有限公司負債情況一覽

The latest balance sheet data shows that CETC Digital TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥5.12b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥444.9m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥847.0m in cash and CN¥2.98b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.74b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,電科數字有限公司短期負債爲51.2億人民幣,長期負債爲44490萬人民幣。與此相抵,公司擁有84700萬人民幣的現金和29.8億人民幣的應收賬款,在未來12個月內到期。因此,公司的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款合計多出17.4億人民幣。

Of course, CETC Digital TechnologyLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥14.3b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, CETC Digital TechnologyLtd also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

當然,電科數字有限公司的市值爲143億人民幣,所以這些負債可能是可以管理的。但是公司的負債仍然相當可觀,我們強烈建議股東繼續關注資產負債表的變化。雖然公司確實有值得注意的負債,但電科數字有限公司的現金要比債務多,所以我們相當有信心它能夠安全管理債務。

While CETC Digital TechnologyLtd doesn't seem to have gained much on the EBIT line, at least earnings remain stable for now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine CETC Digital TechnologyLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

儘管電科數字有限公司在息稅前利潤(EBIt)上沒有取得太多收益,至少收入目前仍然穩定。毫無疑問,我們最多從資產負債表上了解到債務的情況。但更重要的是,未來的收益,而非其他任何事情,將決定電科數字有限公司未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。所以如果您關注未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. CETC Digital TechnologyLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, CETC Digital TechnologyLtd reported free cash flow worth 18% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

但我們最終的考慮也很重要,因爲一家公司無法用紙上利潤償還債務;它需要真金白銀。電科數字有限公司的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但查看業務如何將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對管理債務的需求和能力。在過去三年中,電科數字有限公司報告的自由現金流價值相當於其EBIt的18%,這實際上相當低。對我們來說,現金轉換率如此之低引發了一些對其還債能力的疑慮。

Summing Up

總之

While CETC Digital TechnologyLtd does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥733.0m. So we are not troubled with CETC Digital TechnologyLtd's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with CETC Digital TechnologyLtd , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

雖然電科數字科技有比流動資產更多的負債,但它也擁有人民幣73300萬的淨現金。所以我們對於電科數字科技的債務使用並不擔憂。在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的領域。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表範圍的風險。我們已經發現了1個與電科數字科技有關的警告信號,了解這些風險應該是您投資過程的一部分。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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