GCH Technology (SHSE:688625) Could Be Struggling To Allocate Capital
GCH Technology (SHSE:688625) Could Be Struggling To Allocate Capital
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Having said that, while the ROCE is currently high for GCH Technology (SHSE:688625), we aren't jumping out of our chairs because returns are decreasing.
如果您不確定從哪裏開始尋找下一個股價暴漲的股票,有一些關鍵趨勢是您應該留意的。首先,我們要確定資本運用回報率(ROCE)不斷增長,同時,在這之後,資本運用的基礎也在不斷增加。簡單來說,這些類型的企業是複利機器,意味着它們在以越來越高的回報率不斷再投資其盈利。話雖如此,儘管GCH Technology(SHSE:688625)的ROCE目前很高,但由於回報正在下降,我們並沒有興奮得跳起來。
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
上面您可以看到蒙托克可再生能源現行ROCE與之前資本回報的比較,但過去只能知道這麼多。如果您感興趣,可以查看我們免費的蒙托克可再生能源分析師報告,了解分析師的預測。
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on GCH Technology is:
只是爲了澄清,如果您不確定,ROCE是評估公司在其業務中投入的資本上可以賺取多少稅前收入的度量標準。在GCH Technology上進行此計算的公式是:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
資產僱用回報率(ROCE)是指企業利潤,即企業稅前利潤除以企業投入的總資本(負債加股權)。如果ROCE高於企業財務成本的承受能力,那麼企業就會創造出更多的價值。
0.20 = CN¥251m ÷ (CN¥3.0b - CN¥1.8b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
0.20 = 25100萬元人民幣 ÷(30億人民幣 - 18億人民幣)(截至2024年6月的過去十二個月)。
Thus, GCH Technology has an ROCE of 20%. In absolute terms that's a great return and it's even better than the Chemicals industry average of 5.5%.
因此,GCH Technology的ROCE爲20%。就絕對值而言,這是一個很好的回報,甚至比化學品行業平均水平的5.5%要好。
In the above chart we have measured GCH Technology's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for GCH Technology .
在上面的圖表中,我們已經對GCH Technology之前的ROCE與其之前的表現進行了衡量,但未來可能更重要。如果您感興趣,您可以查看我們爲GCH Technology免費提供的分析師報告中的預測。
The Trend Of ROCE
當尋找下一個倍增器時,如果您不確定從哪裏開始,請關注幾個關鍵趨勢。首先,我們希望看到一個經過驗證的資本使用率。如果您看到這一點,通常意味着這是一家擁有出色業務模式和大量盈利再投資機會的公司。然而,調查蒙托克可再生能源公司(NASDAQ:MNTK)後,我們認爲它的現行趨勢不符合倍增器的模式。
In terms of GCH Technology's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Historically returns on capital were even higher at 38%, but they have dropped over the last five years. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.
就GCH Technology歷史ROCE走勢而言,趨勢並不理想。在歷史上,資本回報率甚至更高達38%,但在過去五年裏已經下降。然而,考慮到投入資本和營業收入均已增加,該業務目前似乎正在追求增長,以短期回報爲代價。如果增加的資本帶來額外的回報,那麼業務,因此股東們,最終將從中受益。
While on the subject, we noticed that the ratio of current liabilities to total assets has risen to 59%, which has impacted the ROCE. Without this increase, it's likely that ROCE would be even lower than 20%. What this means is that in reality, a rather large portion of the business is being funded by the likes of the company's suppliers or short-term creditors, which can bring some risks of its own.
順便說一下,我們注意到流動負債與總資產的比率已上升至59%,這影響了ROCE。如果沒有這種增加,ROCE很可能會低於20%。這意味着實際上,公司資金的相當大一部分來自公司的供應商或短期債權人,這會帶來自己的風險。
In Conclusion...
最後,同等資本下回報率較低的趨勢通常不是我們關注創業板股票的最佳信號。由於這些發展進行良好,因此投資者不太可能表現友好。自五年前以來,該股下跌了32%。除非這些指標朝着更積極的軌跡轉變,否則我們將繼續尋找其他股票。
In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that GCH Technology is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. And there could be an opportunity here if other metrics look good too, because the stock has declined 23% in the last three years. As a result, we'd recommend researching this stock further to uncover what other fundamentals of the business can show us.
總結一下,儘管短期回報較低,但我們鼓勵看到GCH Technology正在進行再投資以實現增長,並因此銷售額增加。如果其他指標也看起來良好,這裏可能存在機會,因爲過去三年股價下跌了23%。因此,我們建議進一步研究這隻股票,以了解業務的其他基本面能夠向我們展示什麼。
If you want to know some of the risks facing GCH Technology we've found 2 warning signs (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
如果你想了解一些GCH Technology面臨的風險,我們發現了2個警告信號(其中1個令人關注!),在投資這裏之前,你應該意識到這些。
If you'd like to see other companies earning high returns, check out our free list of companies earning high returns with solid balance sheets here.
如果您想看到其他公司獲得高回報,請在此查看我們免費的高回報、堅實財務狀況的公司列表。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。