Investors One-year Losses Continue as MGP Ingredients (NASDAQ:MGPI) Dips a Further 22% This Week, Earnings Continue to Decline
Investors One-year Losses Continue as MGP Ingredients (NASDAQ:MGPI) Dips a Further 22% This Week, Earnings Continue to Decline
Passive investing in an index fund is a good way to ensure your own returns roughly match the overall market. While individual stocks can be big winners, plenty more fail to generate satisfactory returns. For example, the MGP Ingredients, Inc. (NASDAQ:MGPI) share price is down 37% in the last year. That falls noticeably short of the market return of around 41%. However, the longer term returns haven't been so bad, with the stock down 8.5% in the last three years. More recently, the share price has dropped a further 27% in a month.
Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
Unhappily, MGP Ingredients had to report a 12% decline in EPS over the last year. This reduction in EPS is not as bad as the 37% share price fall. This suggests the EPS fall has made some shareholders more nervous about the business.
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on MGP Ingredients' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
A Different Perspective
Investors in MGP Ingredients had a tough year, with a total loss of 36% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 41%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 6%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for MGP Ingredients you should know about.
There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of undervalued small cap companies that insiders are buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.