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We Think Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group (SZSE:300442) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group (SZSE:300442) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲潤澤科技(SZSE:300442)可以保持在債務頂端
Simply Wall St ·  2024/10/22 08:22

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group Company Limited (SZSE:300442) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

傳奇基金經理李錄(得到查理·芒格支持)曾經說過,'最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。' 當你考慮一家公司的風險時,自然會查看其資產負債表,因爲往往涉及到債務當一家業務破產時。我們注意到潤澤科技有限公司(SZSE:300442)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但真正的問題是這些債務是否讓這家公司變得更加風險。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

負債有助於企業,直到企業遇到還款的困難,無論是通過新的資本還是通過自由現金流。如果情況變得非常糟糕,放貸人可以接管企業。然而,更常見(但仍然痛苦)的情況是,它不得不以低價籌集新的股本資金,從而永久性地稀釋股東。當然,債務可以是企業的一個重要工具,特別是資本密集型企業。當我們考慮一家公司的債務使用情況時,我們首先看現金和債務結合在一起。

What Is Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group's Net Debt?

潤澤科技的淨債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group had debt of CN¥10.9b at the end of June 2024, a reduction from CN¥11.6b over a year. However, it does have CN¥2.45b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥8.45b.

下面的圖片,您可以點擊查看更詳細的信息,顯示潤澤科技在2024年6月底的債務爲109億人民幣,相比一年前的116億人民幣有所減少。然而,它確實有24.5億人民幣的現金來抵消這個數額,導致淨債務約爲84.5億人民幣。

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SZSE:300442 Debt to Equity History October 22nd 2024
SZSE:300442的資產負債歷史數據 2024年10月22日

How Strong Is Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group's Balance Sheet?

潤澤科技的資產負債表有多強?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group had liabilities of CN¥4.79b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥13.1b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.45b and CN¥1.34b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥14.1b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

從最近的資產負債表中我們可以看到,潤澤科技有着期內到期的負債爲47.9億元人民幣,以及逾期到期的負債達到131億元人民幣。另一方面,它有着24.5億元人民幣的現金和13.4億元人民幣的應收賬款。所以,它的負債總額爲141億元人民幣,超過了現金和短期應收賬款的合併金額。

Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group has a market capitalization of CN¥58.7b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

潤澤科技的市值爲587億元人民幣,因此很可能會籌集資金以改善其資產負債表,一旦有需要的話。但很明顯,我們絕對應該仔細研究它是否能夠在沒有稀釋的情況下管理債務。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我們通過查看淨債務與利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA)之比以及計算其利息支出由收益前利息和稅(EBIT)覆蓋的程度來度量一家公司的債務負載相對於其收益能力的程度。此方法的優點在於我們同時考慮了債務的絕對量(以淨債務爲EBITDA)以及與該債務相關的實際利息支出(以其利息覆蓋倍數計算)。

Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.2, which signals significant debt, but is still pretty reasonable for most types of business. However, its interest coverage of 17.1 is very high, suggesting that the interest expense on the debt is currently quite low. It is well worth noting that Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 50% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

潤澤科技的債務與EBITDA比率爲3.2,表明負債相當大,但對於大多數類型的企業來說仍然相當合理。然而,其利息覆蓋率爲17.1,非常高,表明目前債務利息開支相當低。值得注意的是,潤澤科技的EBIT在過去十二個月內快速增長了50%。這將使其更容易管理其債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯的起點。但最終企業未來的盈利能力將決定潤澤科技是否能夠長期加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你關注未來,可以查看一份免費報告,展示分析師的盈利預測。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤並不能解決問題。因此,合乎邏輯的步驟是看實際自由現金流所佔的EBIt比例。在過去三年中,潤澤科技集團總體上看到了大幅的負自由現金流。雖然投資者無疑期待這種局面會在不久後發生逆轉,但這確實意味着其債務利用更加風險。

Our View

我們的觀點

Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. In particular, we are dazzled with its interest cover. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group you should be aware of, and 2 of them shouldn't be ignored.

潤澤科技集團的EBIt轉化爲自由現金流在本分析中確實是一個真正的負面因素,儘管我們考慮的其他因素都要好得多。特別是,我們對其利息覆蓋能力感到震撼。當我們考慮上述所有因素時,確實對潤澤科技集團的債務使用感到有些謹慎。雖然我們欣賞債務可以提高股東回報率,但我們建議股東密切關注其債務水平,以免增加。資產負債表顯然是在分析債務時要關注的區域。但最終,每家公司都可能存在資產負債表之外的風險。案例說明:我們已經發現了潤澤科技集團存在的4個警示信號,您應該注意,其中有2個不容忽視。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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