The Credit Bureau Asia Limited (SGX:TCU) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 33%. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 30% in the last year.
Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies in Singapore have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 11x, you may consider Credit Bureau Asia as a stock to avoid entirely with its 24.5x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times have been advantageous for Credit Bureau Asia as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Credit Bureau Asia.
Is There Enough Growth For Credit Bureau Asia?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Credit Bureau Asia's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 21%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 48% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 4.7% per year during the coming three years according to the one analyst following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 10% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's alarming that Credit Bureau Asia's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
The strong share price surge has got Credit Bureau Asia's P/E rushing to great heights as well. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Credit Bureau Asia's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Credit Bureau Asia that we have uncovered.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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