Hubei Huarong Holding Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600421) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 40% gain in the last month alone. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 8.4% in the last twelve months.
After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Trade Distributors industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.8x, you may consider Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd as a stock not worth researching with its 15.9x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
What Does Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For instance, Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 23%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 25% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 13% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd's P/S?
The strong share price surge has lead to Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd's P/S soaring as well. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Hubei Huarong HoldingLtd that you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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