Solid Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Guoco Group (HKG:53)
Solid Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Guoco Group (HKG:53)
The recent earnings posted by Guoco Group Limited (HKG:53) were solid, but the stock didn't move as much as we expected. However the statutory profit number doesn't tell the whole story, and we have found some factors which might be of concern to shareholders.
國浩集團有限公司(HKG:53)最近公佈的收益表現穩健,但股票的走勢並不如我們預期的那樣。然而,法定利潤數字並不能完全反映實際情況,我們發現了一些可能引起股東關注的因素。
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
除了稀釋之外,還應該注意的是,萬集科技在過去12個月中因不尋常項目獲得了價值人民幣3.5萬元的利潤。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當這些不尋常項目對利潤做出重大貢獻時,我們會更加謹慎。我們對全球大部分上市公司的數據進行了分析,發現不尋常項目往往是一次性的。這正如我們所期望的那樣,因爲這些提升被描述爲"不尋常"。相對於其利潤而言,萬集科技在2021年12月前的不尋常項目貢獻大。因此,我們可以推斷出,這些不尋常項目正在使其財務利潤顯著增強。
To properly understand Guoco Group's profit results, we need to consider the US$134m gain attributed to unusual items. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).
爲了正確理解國浩集團的利潤結果,我們需要考慮到歸屬於飛凡項目的13400萬美元收益。儘管我們喜歡看到利潤增加,但當飛凡項目對利潤貢獻較大時,我們往往會更加謹慎。我們對全球大多數上市公司進行了數據分析,發現飛凡項目往往是一次性的。這並不奇怪,考慮到其名稱。假設這些飛凡項目在當前年度不再出現,我們因此預計利潤明年會較弱(在沒有業務增長的情況下)。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Guoco Group.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的健康狀況。請點擊這裏查看我們對國浩集團資產負債表的分析。
Our Take On Guoco Group's Profit Performance
我們對國浩集團的利潤表現看法
We'd posit that Guoco Group's statutory earnings aren't a clean read on ongoing productivity, due to the large unusual item. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Guoco Group's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But at least holders can take some solace from the 42% per annum growth in EPS for the last three. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Guoco Group at this point in time. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Guoco Group.
我們認爲國浩集團的法定收益並不是對持續生產力的清晰評估,因爲存在一項巨大的飛凡項目。因此,我們認爲國浩集團的真正基礎收益能力實際上可能低於其法定利潤。但至少持有人可以從過去三年每股收益增長42%中獲得一些安慰。最重要的是,在了解公司情況時不僅僅考慮以上因素。因此,儘管收益質量很重要,但在當前時點考慮國浩集團面臨的風險同樣重要。例如,我們發現了2個警告信號,你應該仔細觀察,以更好地了解國浩集團。
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Guoco Group's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
今天,我們聚焦一個單一數據點,以更好地了解國浩集團利潤的本質。但如果你能集中注意力在細節上,總有更多可以發現的。例如,許多人認爲股權回報率高是有利的經濟業務指標,而其他人則喜歡「追隨資金」並尋找內部人士在買進的股票。儘管這可能需要你做一些研究,但你可能會發現這個免費的擁有高財務槓桿的公司集合,或者這個股票中擁有內部重要持股的公司名單很有用。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。