Is United Energy Group (HKG:467) Using Too Much Debt?
Is United Energy Group (HKG:467) Using Too Much Debt?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies United Energy Group Limited (HKG:467) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
有人認爲,作爲投資者,最好的風險思考方式不是債務,而是波動性,但禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過,「波動性與風險遠非同義詞」。因此,聰明的投資者知道,債務 - 通常涉及破產 - 是評估公司風險的一個非常重要因素。和許多其他公司一樣,聯合能源集團有限公司(HKG:467)利用債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務造成了多大風險?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
當企業無法通過自由現金流或以合適的價格籌集資本來滿足債務義務時,債務和其他負債將對企業構成風險。 如果一家公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能一無所獲。 但更常見情況是,公司必須以低價格籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東。 當然,許多公司使用債務來資助增長,而沒有任何負面影響。 當我們審查債務水平時,我們首先考慮現金和債務水平。
What Is United Energy Group's Debt?
聯合能源集團的債務是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that United Energy Group had debt of HK$313.6m at the end of June 2024, a reduction from HK$3.21b over a year. But it also has HK$4.82b in cash to offset that, meaning it has HK$4.51b net cash.
下面的圖片,您可以點擊查看更多細節,顯示聯合能源集團在2024年6月底的債務爲31360萬港元,比一年前的32.1億港元有所減少。但它也有48.2億港元的現金來抵消,這意味着它有45.1億港元的淨現金。
How Strong Is United Energy Group's Balance Sheet?
聯合能源集團的資產負債表有多強?
According to the last reported balance sheet, United Energy Group had liabilities of HK$10.6b due within 12 months, and liabilities of HK$2.94b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had HK$4.82b in cash and HK$7.40b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling HK$1.28b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
根據最近披露的資產負債表,聯合能源集團在未來12個月內到期的負債爲106億港元,超過12個月到期的負債爲29.4億港元。抵消這些負債的是,其有48.2億港元的現金和74億港元的應收款項,在未來12個月內到期。因此,其負債總計比其現金和短期應收款項多了12.8億港元。
Of course, United Energy Group has a market capitalization of HK$8.92b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, United Energy Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
當然,聯合能源集團的市值爲89.2億港元,因此這些負債可能是可控的。但是有足夠的負債,我們肯定建議股東繼續關注資產負債表。儘管其負債顯著,聯合能源集團擁有淨現金,因此可以說其不存在沉重的債務負擔!
In fact United Energy Group's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 52% in the last twelve months. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if United Energy Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
實際上,聯合能源集團的救贖之道在於其低債務水平,因爲其EBIt在過去12個月下降了52%。當涉及償還債務時,下降的盈利並不比多糖飲料對健康有用。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到關於債務的大部分知識。但最終業務的未來盈利能力將決定聯合能源集團是否能夠隨着時間加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您想了解專業人士的看法,您可能會發現對分析師盈利預測的免費報告感興趣。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. United Energy Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the most recent three years, United Energy Group recorded free cash flow worth 56% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
但是我們的最終考慮也很重要,因爲公司無法用虛擬利潤償還債務;它需要現金。聯合能源集團可能在資產負債表中擁有淨現金,但是看清業務如何將利息和稅前利潤(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流,確實很有趣,因爲這將影響其管理債務的需求和能力。在最近的三年中,聯合能源集團記錄的自由現金流價值相當於其EBIt的56%,這在正常情況下是合理的,因爲自由現金流不包括利息和稅收。這種自由現金流使該公司有能力在適當時支付債務。
Summing Up
總之
While United Energy Group does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of HK$4.51b. So we don't have any problem with United Energy Group's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for United Energy Group you should know about.
雖然聯合能源集團的負債多於流動資產,但也持有45.1億港元的淨現金。所以我們對聯合能源集團使用債務並無任何問題。毫無疑問,我們大多數關於債務的了解來自資產負債表。然而,並不是所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中 - 遠非如此。這些風險可能很難察覺。每家公司都有這些風險,並且我們已經注意到聯合能源集團存在3個警示信號,您應該了解。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。
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