We Think Bristol-Myers Squibb (NYSE:BMY) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
We Think Bristol-Myers Squibb (NYSE:BMY) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (NYSE:BMY) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過,「波動性與風險遠非同義詞。」因此,聰明的投資者知道,債務通常涉及破產,是評估公司風險程度時非常重要的因素。我們可以看到,施貴寶公司(紐交所:BMY)的業務中確實使用了債務。但真正的問題是,這筆債務是否讓公司變得更加危險。
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
當企業無法輕鬆用自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌集資本來履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債對企業變得風險重重。如果情況變得非常糟糕,債權人可以接管企業。然而,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是企業必須以較低的股票價格稀釋股東權益,以簡單地控制債務。當然,債務的好處是它經常代表廉價資本,特別是當它取代重新投資於高回報率企業的稀釋時。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,首先要做的是看其現金和債務合計。
What Is Bristol-Myers Squibb's Net Debt?
什麼是施貴寶的淨債務?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Bristol-Myers Squibb had US$52.4b of debt, an increase on US$37.7b, over one year. However, it does have US$6.65b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$45.7b.
您可以點擊下面的圖表查看歷史數據,截至2024年6月,施貴寶的債務金額達到524億美元,比一年前的377億美元有所增加。然而,它擁有66.5億美元的現金來抵消這筆債務,淨債務約爲457億美元。
How Healthy Is Bristol-Myers Squibb's Balance Sheet?
施貴寶的資產負債表有多健康?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Bristol-Myers Squibb had liabilities of US$23.3b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$54.3b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$6.65b and US$15.1b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$55.8b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
我們可以從最近的資產負債表中看到,施貴寶有233億美元的短期到期負債,以及543億美元的長期到期負債。另一方面,它有66.5億美元的現金和151億美元的應收賬款在一年內到期。因此,它的負債總額是558億美元,超過了其現金和短期應收賬款的總和。
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Bristol-Myers Squibb has a huge market capitalization of US$107.0b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
雖然這可能看起來很多,但由於施貴寶的市值達1070億美元,所以如果有需要,它可能通過增加資本來加強資產負債表。但我們絕對希望保持警惕,以防債務帶來過多風險。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
我們使用兩個主要的比率來告訴我們相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨債務除以利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前利潤(EBITDA),而第二個是其利潤前利息和稅(EBIT)覆蓋其利息費用的次數(或其利息覆蓋率,簡稱)。因此,我們考慮與折舊和攤銷費用相關的盈利以及沒有相關費用的盈利相對於債務水平。
With a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.4, Bristol-Myers Squibb uses debt artfully but responsibly. And the alluring interest cover (EBIT of 8.8 times interest expense) certainly does not do anything to dispel this impression. We saw Bristol-Myers Squibb grow its EBIT by 3.8% in the last twelve months. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Bristol-Myers Squibb's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
以2.4的債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)比率來看,施貴寶巧妙而負責任地使用債務。而誘人的利息償付倍數(EBIT相對於利息支出8.8倍)無疑證實了這一印象。我們看到施貴寶在過去十二個月中將EBIT增長了3.8%。雖然這並沒有令人驚歎,但在債務方面是積極的。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解債務最多。但未來收入,最主要的是,將決定施貴寶未來能否保持健康的資產負債表。如果您想知道專業人士的看法,您可能會發現對分析師盈利預測的免費報告很有趣。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Bristol-Myers Squibb actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
最後,一家企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤並不能解決問題。因此,我們始終查看EBIT中有多少被轉化爲自由現金流。過去三年,施貴寶實際上產生的自由現金流比EBIT更多。這種強勁的現金轉化讓我們像在Daft Punk音樂會上舞池狂熱的人們一樣興奮。
Our View
我們的觀點
Happily, Bristol-Myers Squibb's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its level of total liabilities. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Bristol-Myers Squibb can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Bristol-Myers Squibb .
施貴寶令人印象深刻的EBIt轉化爲自由現金流,表明其在債務方面佔據上風。但是,更令人擔憂的是其總負債水平。綜合考慮所有前述因素,我們認爲施貴寶可以相對舒適地處理其債務。當然,雖然這種槓桿可以增強股本回報,但也帶來更多風險,因此值得密切關注。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表上了解最多關於債務的信息。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中 - 遠非如此。爲此,您應該意識到我們在施貴寶看到的 2個警示信號。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。