Investors Shouldn't Be Too Comfortable With Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics' (SZSE:003015) Earnings
Investors Shouldn't Be Too Comfortable With Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics' (SZSE:003015) Earnings
Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics Jointstock Co., Ltd (SZSE:003015) just reported some strong earnings, and the market reacted accordingly with a healthy uplift in the share price. However, our analysis suggests that shareholders may be missing some factors that indicate the earnings result was not as good as it looked.
江蘇日久光電股份有限公司(SZSE:003015)剛剛發佈了一些強勁的收益,市場做出了相應的反應,股價有健康的上漲。然而,我們的分析表明,股東可能忽略了一些因素,表明收益結果並不像看起來那麼好。
Zooming In On Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics' Earnings
關注江蘇日久光電的收益能力
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
正如財務迷們已經知道的那樣,現金流的應計比率是評估公司自由現金流(FCF)與利潤匹配程度的重要指標。爲了獲得應計比率,我們首先減去一段時間的FCF和利潤,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均營運資產。該比率顯示了公司的利潤超過其FCF的多少。
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
因此,負應計比率對公司是有益的,而正應計比率則是不利的。這並不是說我們應該擔心正應計比率,但值得注意的是應計比率相當高的地方。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,高應計比率通常是短期利潤的不良跡象。
Over the twelve months to September 2024, Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics recorded an accrual ratio of -0.11. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥142m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥36.1m. Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
在截至2024年9月的十二個月裏,江蘇日久光電的權責發生額率爲-0.11。因此,其法定收益遠遠低於其自由現金流。事實上,在過去一年中,它的自由現金流爲人民幣14200萬,遠遠超過法定利潤3610萬。江蘇日久光電的股東無疑對過去十二個月的自由現金流改善感到高興。話雖如此,故事並不簡單。我們可以看到,非常規項目影響了其法定利潤,因此也影響了權責發生率。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。單擊此處查看我們對江蘇日久光電資產負債表的分析。
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
非常規項目如何影響利潤?
While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics' profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥8.7m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to September 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.
雖然應計比率可能會有好的跡象,但我們也注意到,江蘇日久光電的利潤在過去十二個月中受到價值870萬人民幣的飛凡項目的提振。雖然我們喜歡看到利潤增加,但當飛凡項目做出巨大貢獻時,我們往往會更加謹慎。當我們分析全球絕大多數上市公司時,我們發現顯著的飛凡項目往往不會重複出現。而且歸根結底,這恰恰是會計術語所暗示的。 與2024年9月相比,江蘇日久光電的利潤中不尋常項目的貢獻相對較大。其他條件相同的情況下,這可能會導致法定利潤成爲底層盈利能力的不良指引。
Our Take On Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics' Profit Performance
我們對江蘇日久光電的盈利表現的看法
In conclusion, Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics' accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Having considered these factors, we don't think Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics' statutory profits give an overly harsh view of the business. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics (of which 2 don't sit too well with us!) you should know about.
總的來說,江蘇日久光電的應計比率表明其法定收益質量良好,但另一方面,利潤受到飛凡項目的提升。考慮到這些因素,我們認爲江蘇日久光電的法定利潤並沒有對業務給予過於嚴厲的評價。請記住,當進行股票分析時,值得注意其中涉及的風險。每家公司都存在風險,我們已發現江蘇日久光電存在4個警示信號(其中有2個令我們感到不太舒服!)您應了解。
Our examination of Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
我們對江蘇日久光電的審查側重於某些因素,這些因素可能使其盈利看起來比實際更好。但如果您能將注意力集中在細微之處,總會有更多發現。 一些人認爲高淨資產收益率是品質企業的良好跡象。 因此,您可能希望查看這個擁有高淨資產收益率的公司免費收藏,或這個擁有高內部持股比例的股票清單。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。