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We Think Shenzhen Tianyuan DIC Information Technology (SZSE:300047) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

We Think Shenzhen Tianyuan DIC Information Technology (SZSE:300047) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

我們認爲天源迪科(SZSE:300047)在債務方面存在一些風險
Simply Wall St ·  2024/10/25 08:11

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Shenzhen Tianyuan DIC Information Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300047) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過,「波動性與風險遠非同義詞」。因此看起來聰明的投資者知道,債務(通常涉及破產)是評估公司風險程度時非常重要的因素。與許多其他公司一樣,天源迪科信息技術股份有限公司(SZSE:300047)使用債務。但真正的問題是,這些債務是否讓公司變得風險很高。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務帶來了什麼風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務是幫助企業增長的一種工具,但如果企業無法償還其貸款人的債務,那麼它就存在於債權人的掌控之下。 最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所有。 然而,更常見的(但仍然代價高昂)情況是,公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東,以便控制債務。 當然,債務對於企業來說可以是一種重要的工具,特別是對於資本密集型企業來說。 當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先考慮現金和債務水平。

What Is Shenzhen Tianyuan DIC Information Technology's Net Debt?

深圳天源迪科信息技術的淨債務是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Shenzhen Tianyuan DIC Information Technology had CN¥2.47b of debt, up from CN¥1.77b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has CN¥130.8m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥2.34b.

正如您以下所見,截至2024年6月底,深圳天源迪科信息技術的債務爲人民幣24.7億,較一年前的人民幣17.7億有所增加。點擊圖片以查看更多詳細信息。與此同時,其現金爲人民幣13080萬,導致淨債務約爲人民幣23.4億。

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SZSE:300047 Debt to Equity History October 25th 2024
SZSE:300047債務與權益歷史數據2024年10月25日

How Healthy Is Shenzhen Tianyuan DIC Information Technology's Balance Sheet?

深圳天源迪科信息技術的資產負債表究竟有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shenzhen Tianyuan DIC Information Technology had liabilities of CN¥3.12b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥187.7m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥130.8m as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.92b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.26b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我們可以從最近的資產負債表中看到,深圳天源迪科信息技術有約31.2億元的短期到期債務,以及18770萬人民幣的超過一年到期債務。 抵消這些債務的是,其現金約爲13080萬元,以及12個月內到期的應收賬款價值19.2億元。 因此,其債務總額比現金和短期應收賬款結合起來多12.6億元。

Given Shenzhen Tianyuan DIC Information Technology has a market capitalization of CN¥9.08b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

鑑於深圳天源迪科信息技術的市值爲90.8億元,很難相信這些債務會構成多大威脅。 話雖如此,很明顯我們應繼續監視其資產負債表,以防情況惡化。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

我們使用兩個主要的比率來告訴我們相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨債務除以利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前利潤(EBITDA),而第二個是其利潤前利息和稅(EBIT)覆蓋其利息費用的次數(或其利息覆蓋率,簡稱)。因此,我們考慮與折舊和攤銷費用相關的盈利以及沒有相關費用的盈利相對於債務水平。

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 15.4, it's fair to say Shenzhen Tianyuan DIC Information Technology does have a significant amount of debt. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 2.7 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. Looking on the bright side, Shenzhen Tianyuan DIC Information Technology boosted its EBIT by a silky 34% in the last year. Like the milk of human kindness that sort of growth increases resilience, making the company more capable of managing debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shenzhen Tianyuan DIC Information Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

以淨債務與EBITDA比率15.4來看,可以說深圳天源迪科信息技術確實有相當數量的債務。 但好消息是,其利息覆蓋率達到了2.7倍,表明其能夠負責地償還債務。 積極的一面是,深圳天源迪科信息技術去年的EBIt增長了34%,這樣的增長增加了韌性,使公司更有能力管理債務。 在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯的起點。 但不能孤立地看待債務;因爲深圳天源迪科信息技術需要盈利來償還債務。 因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得關注盈利趨勢。 點擊這裏查看互動快照。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Shenzhen Tianyuan DIC Information Technology saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最後,業務需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計盈利並不足以解決問題。因此,邏輯的下一步是查看EBIt中由實際自由現金流匹配的比例。過去三年來,天源迪科信息技術的歷史數據顯示總體上出現了大幅負面的自由現金流。儘管投資者無疑希望這種情況會在不久的將來出現逆轉,但這明顯意味着其債務使用更加風險。

Our View

我們的觀點

Shenzhen Tianyuan DIC Information Technology's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and net debt to EBITDA definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But its EBIT growth rate tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Shenzhen Tianyuan DIC Information Technology is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 4 warning signs with Shenzhen Tianyuan DIC Information Technology (at least 3 which are a bit concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

天源迪科信息技術將EBIt轉化爲自由現金流和淨債務與EBITDA之間的轉換確實給它增加了負擔,在我們看來。但其EBIt增長率述說了完全不同的故事,並顯示了一些韌性。從上面提到的所有角度來看,天源迪科信息技術似乎在某種程度上承擔着由於債務帶來的投資風險。並非所有的風險都是壞的,因爲如果它能夠實現,它可以提升股價回報,但這種債務風險值得牢記在心。資產負債表顯然是在分析債務時要關注的領域。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,相反。我們已經確認了天源迪科信息技術的4個警示標誌(至少3個有些令人擔憂),了解它們應該是你投資過程的一部分。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

說到底,有時候更容易集中精力關注根本不需要債務的公司。讀者可以免費訪問零淨債務增長股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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