Ciena's (NYSE:CIEN) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Decent 78% Return Over the Last Five Years
Ciena's (NYSE:CIEN) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Decent 78% Return Over the Last Five Years
The main point of investing for the long term is to make money. But more than that, you probably want to see it rise more than the market average. But Ciena Corporation (NYSE:CIEN) has fallen short of that second goal, with a share price rise of 78% over five years, which is below the market return. However, more recent buyers should be happy with the increase of 63% over the last year.
以長期投資爲主要目標的主要目標是賺錢。 但更重要的是,您可能希望看到它的漲幅超過市場平均水平。 但紐交所:CIEN的Ciena公司未能達到這第二個目標,其股價在五年內上漲了78%,低於市場回報率。然而,最近買入的投資者可能會對過去一年裏股價上漲63%感到滿意。
So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 5 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.
因此,讓我們評估過去5年的基本面,看看它們是否和股東的回報率相符。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:「短期市場是一臺投票機,但長期市場是一臺稱重機」。檢查市場情緒如何隨時間推移變化的一種方式是查看公司股價和每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。
During five years of share price growth, Ciena actually saw its EPS drop 9.2% per year.
在股價增長的五年裏,Ciena實際上看到其每股收益每年下降9.2%。
Essentially, it doesn't seem likely that investors are focused on EPS. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
實際上,投資者似乎並沒有關注EPS。由於EPS的變化似乎與股價的變化不相關,因此值得關注其他指標。
On the other hand, Ciena's revenue is growing nicely, at a compound rate of 4.2% over the last five years. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.
另一方面,Ciena的營業收入增長相當不錯,在過去五年中以4.2%的複合增長率增長。在這種情況下,該公司可能正在犧牲當前每股收益來推動增長。
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
以下圖像顯示了公司的營業收入和盈利(隨時間變化)(單擊以查看準確的數字)。
Ciena is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. If you are thinking of buying or selling Ciena stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst consensus estimates for future profits.
Ciena已經爲投資者所熟知,許多聰明的分析師努力預測未來的利潤水平。如果您在考慮購買或賣出Ciena股票,您應該查看此免費報告,顯示分析師對未來利潤的共識估計。
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
It's nice to see that Ciena shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 63% over the last year. That's better than the annualised return of 12% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Ciena , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
看到Ciena股東在過去一年內獲得63%的股東總回報真是太好了。這比過去半個世紀每年12%的年化回報要好,這意味着該公司最近表現更好。持樂觀態度的人可能會認爲股東最近的改善暗示着業務本身隨着時間正在變得更好。我發現長期來看股價作爲業務表現的一種代理非常有趣。但要真正獲得洞察力,我們也需要考慮其他信息。例如,投資風險一直存在。我們已經發現了Ciena的2個警示信號,了解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
當然,您可能在其他地方找到一家出色的企業進行投資。因此,請查看我們預計將實現盈利增長的公司的免費列表。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文所引述的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。