LendingClub Corporation (NYSE:LC) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 27% share price jump in the last month. The annual gain comes to 176% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.
After such a large jump in price, LendingClub may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 30x, since almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios under 18x and even P/E's lower than 10x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, LendingClub has been very sluggish. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think LendingClub's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as LendingClub's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 4.4%. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 60% during the coming year according to the ten analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 15% growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why LendingClub is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From LendingClub's P/E?
Shares in LendingClub have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of LendingClub's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for LendingClub that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than LendingClub. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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