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Dividend Investors: Don't Be Too Quick To Buy Anhui Xinhua Media Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601801) For Its Upcoming Dividend

Dividend Investors: Don't Be Too Quick To Buy Anhui Xinhua Media Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601801) For Its Upcoming Dividend

股息投資者:不要急於買入皖新傳媒股份有限公司(SHSE:601801)的即將到來的股息
Simply Wall St ·  10/27 20:11

It looks like Anhui Xinhua Media Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601801) is about to go ex-dividend in the next 2 days. The ex-dividend date occurs one day before the record date which is the day on which shareholders need to be on the company's books in order to receive a dividend. It is important to be aware of the ex-dividend date because any trade on the stock needs to have been settled on or before the record date. Accordingly, Anhui Xinhua Media investors that purchase the stock on or after the 31st of October will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 31st of October.

The company's next dividend payment will be CN¥0.10 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of CN¥0.30 per share. Looking at the last 12 months of distributions, Anhui Xinhua Media has a trailing yield of approximately 2.8% on its current stock price of CN¥7.21. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. That's why we should always check whether the dividend payments appear sustainable, and if the company is growing.

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Anhui Xinhua Media paid out 102% of its earnings, which is more than we're comfortable with, unless there are mitigating circumstances. Yet cash flows are even more important than profits for assessing a dividend, so we need to see if the company generated enough cash to pay its distribution. Thankfully its dividend payments took up just 35% of the free cash flow it generated, which is a comfortable payout ratio.

It's good to see that while Anhui Xinhua Media's dividends were not covered by profits, at least they are affordable from a cash perspective. Still, if the company repeatedly paid a dividend greater than its profits, we'd be concerned. Extraordinarily few companies are capable of persistently paying a dividend that is greater than their profits.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

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SHSE:601801 Historic Dividend October 28th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Businesses with shrinking earnings are tricky from a dividend perspective. Investors love dividends, so if earnings fall and the dividend is reduced, expect a stock to be sold off heavily at the same time. Anhui Xinhua Media's earnings per share have fallen at approximately 6.0% a year over the previous five years. Such a sharp decline casts doubt on the future sustainability of the dividend.

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. Since the start of our data, 10 years ago, Anhui Xinhua Media has lifted its dividend by approximately 7.2% a year on average. The only way to pay higher dividends when earnings are shrinking is either to pay out a larger percentage of profits, spend cash from the balance sheet, or borrow the money. Anhui Xinhua Media is already paying out a high percentage of its income, so without earnings growth, we're doubtful of whether this dividend will grow much in the future.

Final Takeaway

Has Anhui Xinhua Media got what it takes to maintain its dividend payments? It's not a great combination to see a company with earnings in decline and paying out 102% of its profits, which could imply the dividend may be at risk of being cut in the future. However, the cash payout ratio was much lower - good news from a dividend perspective - which makes us wonder why there is such a mis-match between income and cashflow. Overall it doesn't look like the most suitable dividend stock for a long-term buy and hold investor.

So if you're still interested in Anhui Xinhua Media despite it's poor dividend qualities, you should be well informed on some of the risks facing this stock. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Anhui Xinhua Media you should be aware of.

If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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