Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd (SZSE:002873) Shareholders Notch a 7.6% CAGR Over 5 Years, yet Earnings Have Been Shrinking
Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd (SZSE:002873) Shareholders Notch a 7.6% CAGR Over 5 Years, yet Earnings Have Been Shrinking
When we invest, we're generally looking for stocks that outperform the market average. Buying under-rated businesses is one path to excess returns. For example, long term Guiyang Xintian Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002873) shareholders have enjoyed a 40% share price rise over the last half decade, well in excess of the market return of around 16% (not including dividends).
當我們投資時,通常尋找那些超越市場平均水平的股票。 買入被低估的業務是一條獲得超額回報的路徑。 例如,從長期來看,新天藥業股份有限公司(深交所代碼:002873)的股東在過去五年中享受了40%的股價上漲,遠遠超過市場回報約16%(不包括分紅派息)。
The past week has proven to be lucrative for Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's five-year performance.
過去一週對於新天藥業的投資者來說是有利可圖的,所以讓我們看看基本面是否推動了該公司五年的表現。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
引用巴菲特的話,『船會在世界各地航行,但地平線協會將蓬勃發展。市場上價格和價值之間將繼續存在廣泛的差異……』 一種有缺陷但合理的評估公司情緒變化的方法是比較每股收益(EPS)與股價。
Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd's earnings per share are down 1.0% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.
儘管五年來股價表現強勁,新天藥業的每股收益每年下降1.0%。
So it's hard to argue that the earnings per share are the best metric to judge the company, as it may not be optimized for profits at this point. Therefore, it's worth taking a look at other metrics to try to understand the share price movements.
因此,很難辯稱每股收益是評估公司的最佳指標,因爲此時可能沒有針對利潤進行優化。因此,值得看看其他指標,以嘗試理解股價的變動。
We doubt the modest 0.6% dividend yield is attracting many buyers to the stock. On the other hand, Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd's revenue is growing nicely, at a compound rate of 7.1% over the last five years. It's quite possible that management are prioritizing revenue growth over EPS growth at the moment.
我們懷疑0.6%的分紅派息收益率是否能夠吸引很多買家購買該股票。 另一方面,新天藥業的營業收入在過去五年中以7.1%的複合增長率持續增長。 管理層目前可能更優先考慮營業收入的增長而非每股收益的增長。
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
以下圖像顯示了公司的營業收入和盈利(隨時間變化)(單擊以查看準確的數字)。
You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.
您可以通過這個免費的互動圖形查看其資產負債表隨時間的增強(或減弱)。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd, it has a TSR of 45% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮總股東回報(TSR)與股價回報之間的差異。股價回報僅反映股價的變化,而TSR則包括分紅的價值(假設它們被再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。 可以公平地說,對於支付分紅的股票,TSR提供了更完整的視角。 以新天藥業爲例,其過去五年的TSR爲45%,超過我們之前提到的股價回報。 因此,公司支付的分紅促進了總股東回報的提升。
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
Investors in Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd had a tough year, with a total loss of 3.5% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 7.4%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 8%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) that you should be aware of.
新天藥業的投資者在過去一年中經歷了艱難的一年,總損失爲3.5%(包括分紅派息),而市場增幅約爲7.4%。即使是好的股票,有時股價也會下跌,但在我們過於關注之前,我們希望看到業務基本指標的改善。長期投資者就不會太沮喪,因爲他們在五年中每年都獲得了8%的收益。最近的賣出可能是一個機會,因此檢查基本數據以尋找長期增長趨勢的跡象可能是值得的。 長期跟蹤股價表現總是有趣的。但要更好地理解新天藥業,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,我們已經發現新天藥業有兩個警告信號(其中一個讓我們有點不安),這你應該注意。
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.
如果你像我一樣,那麼你一定不想錯過這份內部人士正在購買的被低估的小型股免費名單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。