Sinoma International EngineeringLtd (SHSE:600970) Shareholders Have Earned a 15% CAGR Over the Last Five Years
Sinoma International EngineeringLtd (SHSE:600970) Shareholders Have Earned a 15% CAGR Over the Last Five Years
Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. Buying under-rated businesses is one path to excess returns. For example, the Sinoma International Engineering Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600970) share price is up 70% in the last 5 years, clearly besting the market return of around 16% (ignoring dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 4.7% in the last year, including dividends.
一般來說,積極的股票挑選的目的是找到提供超過市場平均回報的公司。購買被低估的企業是獲取超額回報的一種途徑。舉例來說,中材國際(SHSE:600970)的股價在過去5年中上漲了70%,明顯超過市場回報約16%(不考慮分紅)。然而,更近期的回報並不像那樣令人印象深刻,該股票在過去一年僅回報4.7%,包括分紅在內。
Let's take a look at the underlying fundamentals over the longer term, and see if they've been consistent with shareholders returns.
讓我們長期看一下潛在的基本面,看看它們是否與股東回報一致。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
引用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話:在短期內,市場是投票機,但在長期內,市場是稱重機。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股票價格的時間變化,我們可以感受到投資者對公司的態度隨時間而變化。
Over half a decade, Sinoma International EngineeringLtd managed to grow its earnings per share at 5.5% a year. This EPS growth is lower than the 11% average annual increase in the share price. This suggests that market participants hold the company in higher regard, these days. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth.
在過去的半個世紀,中材國際工程有限公司每股收益以每年5.5%的速度增長。這種每股收益增長低於股價每年11%的平均漲幅。這表明市場參與者如今更看好該公司。考慮到過去五年的盈利增長記錄,這並不令人意外。
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
該公司的每股收益(隨時間的推移)如下圖所示(單擊可查看確切數字)。
We know that Sinoma International EngineeringLtd has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? You could check out this free report showing analyst revenue forecasts.
我們知道中材國際近期改善了其利潤,但它的營業收入會增長嗎?您可以查看這份免費的分析師營業收入預測報告。
What About Dividends?
那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Sinoma International EngineeringLtd, it has a TSR of 99% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
對於任何給定的股票,考慮總股東回報以及股價回報是很重要的。股價回報僅反映了股價的變化,而TSR則包括了分紅的價值(假設它們被再投資)以及任何折價的資本增發或子公司剝離的利益。可以說TSR爲支付股息的股票提供了一個更完整的圖片。在中材國際最近5年的情況下,其TSR爲99%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報。毫無疑問,股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種偏離!
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
Sinoma International EngineeringLtd shareholders gained a total return of 4.7% during the year. Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. If we look back over five years, the returns are even better, coming in at 15% per year for five years. It may well be that this is a business worth popping on the watching, given the continuing positive reception, over time, from the market. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Sinoma International EngineeringLtd you should know about.
中材國際的股東在本年度獲得了總回報4.7%。不幸的是,這低於市場回報。如果我們回顧過去五年,表現甚至更好,每年爲15%。考慮到市場長期持續的積極反應,這可能是一個值得留意的業務。我發現長期觀察股價作爲業務表現的一種替代方法非常有趣。但要真正獲得洞察,我們也需要考慮其他信息。比如,考慮風險。每家公司都有風險,對於中材國際,我們發現了1個警示信息,您應該了解。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
當然,您可能在其他地方找到一家出色的企業進行投資。因此,請查看我們預計將實現盈利增長的公司的免費列表。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。