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JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech's (SZSE:300631) Profits May Be Overstating Its True Earnings Potential

JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech's (SZSE:300631) Profits May Be Overstating Its True Earnings Potential

久吾高科(SZSE:300631)的利潤可能誇大了其真實的盈利潛力
Simply Wall St ·  10/28 03:20

Following the release of a positive earnings report recently, JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300631) stock performed well. Investors should be cautious however, as there some causes of concern deeper in the numbers.

最近發佈了一份正面盈利報告後,久吾高科(SZSE:300631)的股價表現良好。然而,投資者應謹慎,因爲數字深處存在一些令人擔憂的原因。

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SZSE:300631 Earnings and Revenue History October 28th 2024
SZSE:300631 盈利和營業收入歷史數據 2024年10月28日

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

除了稀釋之外,還應該注意的是,萬集科技在過去12個月中因不尋常項目獲得了價值人民幣3.5萬元的利潤。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當這些不尋常項目對利潤做出重大貢獻時,我們會更加謹慎。我們對全球大部分上市公司的數據進行了分析,發現不尋常項目往往是一次性的。這正如我們所期望的那樣,因爲這些提升被描述爲"不尋常"。相對於其利潤而言,萬集科技在2021年12月前的不尋常項目貢獻大。因此,我們可以推斷出,這些不尋常項目正在使其財務利潤顯著增強。

For anyone who wants to understand JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech's profit beyond the statutory numbers, it's important to note that during the last twelve months statutory profit gained from CN¥9.5m worth of unusual items. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to September 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

對於任何想要了解久吾高科超越法定數字的利潤的人來說,重要的是要注意,過去十二個月內法定利潤中從950萬人民幣的飛凡項目中獲得。雖然我們喜歡看到利潤增加,但當飛凡項目做出重大貢獻時,我們往往會更加謹慎。當我們對成千上萬家上市公司進行數據分析時,我們發現一年中來自飛凡項目的增加通常不會在下一年重複。而且,畢竟,這正是會計術語所暗示的。相對於其2024年9月利潤,久吾高科從飛凡項目中獲得了相當顯著的貢獻。因此,我們可以推斷,飛凡項目使其法定利潤比原本強大得多。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓您想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看基於其估計的未來盈利能力的互動圖表。

An Unusual Tax Situation

一種不尋常的稅務情況

Just as we noted the unusual items, we must inform you that JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech received a tax benefit which contributed CN¥2.5m to the bottom line. This is of course a bit out of the ordinary, given it is more common for companies to be paying tax than receiving tax benefits! The receipt of a tax benefit is obviously a good thing, on its own. However, the devil in the detail is that these kind of benefits only impact in the year they are booked, and are often one-off in nature. In the likely event the tax benefit is not repeated, we'd expect to see its statutory profit levels drop, at least in the absence of strong growth. So while we think it's great to receive a tax benefit, it does tend to imply an increased risk that the statutory profit overstates the sustainable earnings power of the business.

正如我們注意到飛凡項目一樣,我們必須告訴您,久吾高科獲得了一項稅收收益,爲底線貢獻了250萬元人民幣。這當然有點不同尋常,因爲公司往往是在支付稅款而不是獲得稅收收益!獲得稅收收益顯然是一件好事,就本身而言。然而,問題的關鍵在於,這類收益只在記賬當年產生影響,通常是一次性的。在很可能不會重複獲得稅收收益的情況下,我們預計看到其法定利潤水平下降,至少在缺乏強勁增長的情況下是這樣。因此,儘管我們認爲獲得稅收收益是一件好事,但它確實暗示着一個增加的風險,即法定利潤誇大了企業持續盈利能力。

Our Take On JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech's Profit Performance

我們對久吾高科的盈利表現發表看法

In its last report JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech received a tax benefit which might make its profit look better than it really is on a underlying level. Furthermore, it also benefitted from a positive unusual item, which boosted the profit result even higher. Considering all this we'd argue JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech at this point in time. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be familiar with.

在最近的報告中,久吾高科獲得了一項稅收優惠,這可能使其盈利在潛在水平上看起來比實際情況更好。此外,它還受益於一項積極的飛凡項目,進一步提升了盈利結果。考慮到所有這些,我們認爲久吾高科的利潤可能給人一種過分慷慨的盈利可持續水平印象。因此,雖然盈利質量很重要,但同樣重要的是考慮久吾高科當前面臨的風險。例如,我們已經發現了久吾高科的3個警示信號(其中有1個我們並不太滿意),您應該熟悉。

Our examination of JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

我們對久吾高科的研究側重於一些因素,這些因素可能使其盈利看起來比實際情況更好。基於這一點,我們對此持懷疑態度。但還有很多其他方式來了解一家公司。有些人認爲股本回報率高是一家優質企業的良好標誌。雖然這可能需要您進行一些研究,您可能會發現這些具有高股本回報率的公司的免費收藏,或者持有大量內部持股的股票列表對您有所幫助。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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