Investing in AAR (NYSE:AIR) Three Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 69% Gain
Investing in AAR (NYSE:AIR) Three Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 69% Gain
By buying an index fund, investors can approximate the average market return. But if you choose individual stocks with prowess, you can make superior returns. For example, the AAR Corp. (NYSE:AIR) share price is up 69% in the last three years, clearly besting the market return of around 14% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 5.2% in the last year.
通過購買指數基金,投資者可以估算出平均市場回報率。但是,如果你選擇有實力的個股,你可以獲得豐厚的回報。例如,AAR公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:AIR)的股價在過去三年中上漲了69%,顯然超過了約14%(不包括股息)的市場回報率。但是,最近的回報並不那麼令人印象深刻,該股去年的回報率僅爲5.2%。
So let's investigate and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.
因此,讓我們調查一下,看看公司的長期表現是否與基礎業務的進展一致。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
不可否認,市場有時是有效的,但價格並不總是能反映潛在的業務表現。考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。
During the three years of share price growth, AAR actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 3.4% per year.
在股價增長的三年中,AAR的每股收益(EPS)實際上每年下降3.4%。
Based on these numbers, we think that the decline in earnings per share may not be a good representation of how the business has changed over the years. Therefore, it makes sense to look into other metrics.
基於這些數字,我們認爲每股收益的下降可能無法很好地代表業務多年來的變化。因此,研究其他指標是有意義的。
It could be that the revenue growth of 12% per year is viewed as evidence that AAR is growing. If the company is being managed for the long term good, today's shareholders might be right to hold on.
每年12%的收入增長可能被視爲AAR正在增長的證據。如果公司的管理是爲了長期利益,那麼今天的股東堅持下去可能是正確的。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下圖顯示了收入和收入在一段時間內的跟蹤情況(如果你點擊圖片,你可以看到更多的細節)。
Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.
資產負債表的實力至關重要。可能值得一看我們的免費報告,了解其財務狀況如何隨着時間的推移而變化。
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
AAR shareholders gained a total return of 5.2% during the year. Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. On the bright side, the longer term returns (running at about 7% a year, over half a decade) look better. It's quite possible the business continues to execute with prowess, even as the share price gains are slowing. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand AAR better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with AAR (at least 1 which is concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
AAR股東在該年度的總回報率爲5.2%。不幸的是,這沒有達到市場回報率。好的一面是,長期回報(超過五年,每年約7%)看起來更好。儘管股價上漲放緩,但該業務很有可能繼續保持強勁的執行力。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,爲了更好地理解 AAR,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,投資風險的幽靈無處不在。我們已經確定了AAR的2個警告信號(至少有1個令人擔憂),了解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
當然,通過尋找其他地方,你可能會找到一項不錯的投資。因此,看看這份我們預計收益將增長的免費公司名單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報率。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?直接聯繫我們。或者,發送電子郵件給編輯組(網址爲)simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。