Baoding Tianwei Baobian Electric Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600550) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 32% gain in the last month alone. The annual gain comes to 164% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.
After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China's Electrical industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.4x, you may consider Baoding Tianwei Baobian ElectricLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 5.5x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
SHSE:600550 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 28th 2024
What Does Baoding Tianwei Baobian ElectricLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Baoding Tianwei Baobian ElectricLtd has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting this decent revenue performance to beat out the industry over the near term, which has kept the P/S propped up. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Baoding Tianwei Baobian ElectricLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
Baoding Tianwei Baobian ElectricLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 20% gain to the company's top line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen the company endure a nasty 1.4% drop in revenue in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 26% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Baoding Tianwei Baobian ElectricLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What Does Baoding Tianwei Baobian ElectricLtd's P/S Mean For Investors?
The strong share price surge has lead to Baoding Tianwei Baobian ElectricLtd's P/S soaring as well. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Baoding Tianwei Baobian ElectricLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Baoding Tianwei Baobian ElectricLtd you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Baoding Tianwei Baobian ElectricLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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