Does Fujian Qingshan Paper Industry (SHSE:600103) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Does Fujian Qingshan Paper Industry (SHSE:600103) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Fujian Qingshan Paper Industry Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600103) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
大衛·伊本說得很好,他說:「波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。」所以很明顯,當您考慮任何特定股票的風險時,您需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務可能會拖累一家公司。與許多其他公司一樣,青山紙業股份有限公司(SHSE:600103)利用債務。但股東們應該擔心它使用債務嗎?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務帶來了什麼風險?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
債務可以幫助業務直至業務出現還款問題,無論是借新的資本還是用自由現金流還款均可。在最糟糕的情況下,公司如果不能償還債權人的欠款則會破產。然而,一個更常見但仍然令人痛苦的情況是,公司必須以低價籌集新的股本資本,從而永久性地稀釋股東的股份。然而,爲了替代稀釋,債務可以是業務的一種非常好的工具,這可以幫助業務以高回報率投資於增長。考慮業務使用多少債務時,首先要做的是將其現金和債務放在一起看。
How Much Debt Does Fujian Qingshan Paper Industry Carry?
青山紙業揹負多少債務?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 Fujian Qingshan Paper Industry had debt of CN¥886.5m, up from CN¥678.9m in one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥2.19b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.30b net cash position.
下面的圖片顯示,截至2024年6月,青山紙業的債務爲88650萬人民幣,比一年前的67890萬人民幣增加了。另一方面,它也有21.9億人民幣的現金,導致淨現金爲13億人民幣。
How Strong Is Fujian Qingshan Paper Industry's Balance Sheet?
青山紙業的資產負債表有多堅固?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Fujian Qingshan Paper Industry had liabilities of CN¥1.69b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥190.7m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.19b as well as receivables valued at CN¥852.5m due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥1.16b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
我們可以從最近的資產負債表中看到,青山紙業有16.9億人民幣的一年內到期負債,以及19070萬元人民幣的到期超過一年的負債。 抵消這些義務,它擁有21.9億元人民幣的現金,以及價值85250萬元人民幣的應收款項,在12個月內到期。 因此,它擁有11.6億元人民幣的更多流動資產,超過了總負債。
This surplus suggests that Fujian Qingshan Paper Industry is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Fujian Qingshan Paper Industry has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
這一盈餘表明青山紙業正在以一種看起來既安全又保守的方式使用債務。 因爲它擁有大量資產,所以不太可能與債權人發生問題。 簡單來說,青山紙業擁有比債務更多的現金,可以認爲這是它可以安全管理債務的好指標。
In fact Fujian Qingshan Paper Industry's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 47% in the last twelve months. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Fujian Qingshan Paper Industry's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
事實上,青山紙業的救星是其低債務水平,因爲其稅息前利潤在過去十二個月下降了47%。 當一家公司看到其收入下降時,有時可能會發現與債權人的關係惡化。 當您分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是要重點關注的領域。 但青山紙業的收入將影響資產負債表在未來的表現。 因此,如果您渴望了解更多關於其收入的信息,不妨查看其長期收入趨勢圖。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Fujian Qingshan Paper Industry has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent three years, Fujian Qingshan Paper Industry recorded free cash flow of 35% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
最後,雖然徵稅人可能喜歡會計利潤,但債權人只接受冰冷的現金。 雖然青山紙業在其資產負債表上有淨現金,但值得看一下它將稅息前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度。 回顧最近三年,青山紙業的自由現金流佔其EBIT的35%,比我們預期的要弱。 在償還債務時,這不太理想。
Summing Up
總之
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Fujian Qingshan Paper Industry has CN¥1.30b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we don't have any problem with Fujian Qingshan Paper Industry's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Fujian Qingshan Paper Industry you should be aware of.
雖然調查公司的債務是明智的,但在這種情況下,青山紙業持有13億元人民幣的現金淨額和看起來不錯的資產負債表。 所以我們對青山紙業使用債務並無異議。 毫無疑問,我們最能從資產負債表中了解到債務情況。 但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表之外的風險。 例如:我們已經發現了青山紙業的3個警示信號,您應該知曉。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
說到底,有時候更容易集中精力關注根本不需要債務的公司。讀者可以免費訪問零淨債務增長股票列表。
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