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We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology's (SHSE:688676) Earnings

We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology's (SHSE:688676) Earnings

我們認爲海南金盤智能科技(SHSE:688676)的盈利存在潛在問題
Simply Wall St ·  10/29 06:58

Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688676) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. Our analysis suggests that shareholders have noticed something concerning in the numbers.

海南金盤智能科技股份有限公司(SHSE:688676)宣佈盈利強勁,但股票價格一直停滯不前。我們的分析顯示,股東們可能已經注意到業績數據中的一些令人擔憂的地方。

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SHSE:688676 Earnings and Revenue History October 28th 2024
SHSE:688676 盈利和營業收入歷史數據 2024年10月28日

In order to understand the potential for per share returns, it is essential to consider how much a company is diluting shareholders. Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology expanded the number of shares on issue by 7.1% over the last year. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. Check out Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

爲了了解每股收益潛力,有必要考慮公司對股東的攤薄程度。海南金盤智能科技過去一年發行的股份數量增加了7.1%。因此,現在每股股票所獲得的利潤份額更少了。談到淨利潤而忽略每股收益,就是被大金額數字所迷惑,而忽視了每股價值的小數字。點擊這個鏈接查看海南金盤智能科技的歷史EPS增長情況。

How Is Dilution Impacting Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?

攤薄如何影響海南金盤智能科技的每股收益(EPS)?

As you can see above, Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology has been growing its net income over the last few years, with an annualized gain of 146% over three years. In comparison, earnings per share only gained 126% over the same period. And at a glance the 28% gain in profit over the last year impresses. But in comparison, EPS only increased by 22% over the same period. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is influencing shareholder earnings.

如上所示,海南金盤智能科技近幾年來一直在增加其淨利潤,過去三年年化增長率達到了146%。相比之下,同一時期EPS僅增長了126%。一瞥最近一年內的利潤增長28%確實令人印象深刻。但同期,EPS僅增長了22%。因此,很明顯可以看出攤薄正在影響股東的收益。

Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So it will certainly be a positive for shareholders if Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology can grow EPS persistently. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

股價變化通常會反映出每股收益的變化,從長期來看。因此,如果海南金盤智能科技能夠持續增長EPS,那股東肯定會受益。然而,如果其利潤增加而每股收益保持不變(甚至下降),那麼股東可能看不到太多好處。出於這個原因,你可以說在長期看來,EPS比淨利潤更重要,前提是目標是評估一家公司的股價可能會增長。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓您想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看基於其估計的未來盈利能力的互動圖表。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

除了稀釋之外,還應該注意的是,萬集科技在過去12個月中因不尋常項目獲得了價值人民幣3.5萬元的利潤。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當這些不尋常項目對利潤做出重大貢獻時,我們會更加謹慎。我們對全球大部分上市公司的數據進行了分析,發現不尋常項目往往是一次性的。這正如我們所期望的那樣,因爲這些提升被描述爲"不尋常"。相對於其利潤而言,萬集科技在2021年12月前的不尋常項目貢獻大。因此,我們可以推斷出,這些不尋常項目正在使其財務利潤顯著增強。

Finally, we should also consider the fact that unusual items boosted Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology's net profit by CN¥55m over the last year. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. If Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

最後,我們還應考慮到,飛凡金盤智能科技去年淨利潤增加了5500萬人民幣,其中不尋常項目起到了推動作用。雖然我們喜歡看到利潤增長,但當不尋常項目做出巨大貢獻時,我們往往會更加謹慎。當我們對成千上萬家上市公司進行數據分析時,我們發現,在某一年中由於不尋常項目的推動通常在下一年不會重複。正如你預期的那樣,這些推動被描述爲「不尋常」。如果飛凡金盤智能科技沒有看到這種貢獻的重複,那麼其他一切相等,我們會預計其利潤在當年下降。

Our Take On Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology's Profit Performance

我們對飛凡金盤智能科技的利潤表現看法

In its last report Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology benefitted from unusual items which boosted its profit, which could make the profit seem better than it really is on a sustainable basis. On top of that, the dilution means that its earnings per share performance is worse than its profit performance. Considering all this we'd argue Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology at this point in time. At Simply Wall St, we found 3 warning signs for Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology and we think they deserve your attention.

在最近的報告中,飛凡金盤智能科技受益於提升其利潤的不尋常項目,這可能使利潤在可持續基礎上看起來比實際情況更好。此外,稀釋意味着其每股收益表現比利潤表現更差。考慮到所有這些,我們認爲飛凡金盤智能科技的利潤可能過分誇大了其可持續盈利水平。因此,雖然收益質量很重要,但同樣重要的是考慮當前飛凡金盤智能科技面臨的風險。在Simply Wall St,我們發現了飛凡金盤智能科技的3個警示信號,我們認爲這值得引起您的注意。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

在本文中,我們看了許多可能損害利潤數字實用性的因素,我們持謹慎態度。但還有很多其他方法可以了解一家公司的觀點。一些人認爲高淨資產收益率是高質量企業的好跡象。因此,您可能希望查看這裏提供的高淨資產收益率公司的免費集合,或者這裏持有高內部股權的股票列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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