Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry (SZSE:000062) the Stock Grows 4.0%, Bringing One-year Gains to 187%
Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry (SZSE:000062) the Stock Grows 4.0%, Bringing One-year Gains to 187%
When you buy shares in a company, there is always a risk that the price drops to zero. But if you pick the right stock, you can make a lot more than 100%. For example, the Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000062) share price had more than doubled in just one year - up 180%. It's up an even more impressive 275% over the last quarter. And shareholders have also done well over the long term, with an increase of 101% in the last three years.
當您購買公司股票時,總會存在價格跌至零的風險。但如果選擇正確的股票,您可以獲得超過100%的利潤。例如,深圳華強股份有限公司(SZSE:000062)的股價在短短一年內翻了一番以上,上漲了180%。在過去的一個季度中,上漲了更爲驚人的275%。而長期股東也表現良好,過去三年增長了101%。
Since the stock has added CN¥1.3b to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.
由於該股票在過去一週內已增加約13億人民幣到其市值,讓我們看看潛在業績是否推動了長期回報。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
引用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話:在短期內,市場是投票機,但在長期內,市場是稱重機。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股票價格的時間變化,我們可以感受到投資者對公司的態度隨時間而變化。
Over the last twelve months, Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry actually shrank its EPS by 46%.
在過去的十二個月中,深圳華強實際上將其每股收益縮水了46%。
Given the share price gain, we doubt the market is measuring progress with EPS. Indeed, when EPS is declining but the share price is up, it often means the market is considering other factors.
考慮到股價上漲,我們懷疑市場正在用EPS來衡量進展。事實上,當EPS下降但股價上漲時,通常意味着市場正在考慮其他因素。
We doubt the modest 0.8% dividend yield is doing much to support the share price. We think that the revenue growth of 15% could have some investors interested. Many businesses do go through a phase where they have to forgo some profits to drive business development, and sometimes its for the best.
我們懷疑微薄的0.8%的分紅派息對支撐股價並沒有太大幫助。我們認爲15%的營業收入增長可能會吸引一些投資者。許多企業確實會經歷一個階段,在這個階段他們必須放棄一些利潤來推動業務發展,有時候這樣做是最好的。
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
您可以看到以下收益和營收的變化情況(通過單擊圖像了解精確值)。
Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.
資產負債表強度至關重要。查看我們關於其財務狀況如何隨時間變化的免費報告可能很值得一看。
What About Dividends?
那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry the TSR over the last 1 year was 187%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮總股東回報(TSR)和股價回報之間的區別。股價回報僅反映了股價的變化,而TSR包括了分紅的價值(假設它們被再投資)以及任何折價資本籌集或剝離帶來的好處。可以說TSR爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的圖片。我們注意到深圳華強股票過去1年的TSR爲187%,這比上面提到的股價回報要好。公司支付的分紅因此提升了總股東回報。
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
It's nice to see that Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 187% over the last year. That's including the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 21%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 5 warning signs for Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry (3 are a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
很高興看到深圳華強的股東在過去一年中獲得了總股東回報率高達187%。這包括股息。這一收益優於過去五年的年度TSR,爲21%。因此,最近該公司周圍的情緒似乎是積極的。鑑於股價勢頭仍然強勁,值得更仔細地審視股票,以免錯失機會。我發現長期觀察股價作爲業務績效的一種代理非常有趣。但爲了真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,我們已發現深圳華強有5個警告信號(其中3個有點令人擔憂!)在您在此投資之前應該注意。
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.
如果您像我一樣,就不會希望錯過這份免費的內部人士正在購買的低估小市值股票列表。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。