Shandong Jinling Mining's (SZSE:000655) 6.1% CAGR Outpaced the Company's Earnings Growth Over the Same Five-year Period
Shandong Jinling Mining's (SZSE:000655) 6.1% CAGR Outpaced the Company's Earnings Growth Over the Same Five-year Period
When we invest, we're generally looking for stocks that outperform the market average. And the truth is, you can make significant gains if you buy good quality businesses at the right price. For example, long term Shandong Jinling Mining Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000655) shareholders have enjoyed a 28% share price rise over the last half decade, well in excess of the market return of around 16% (not including dividends).
當我們投資時,通常會尋找股票,這些股票的表現超過市場平均水平。事實上,如果你以正確的價格買入優質企業,就可以獲得顯著的收益。例如,長期以來,持有山東金嶺礦業股份有限公司(SZSE:000655)的股東們在過去的半個世紀裏享受到了28%的股價上漲,遠遠超過市場回報率的16%左右(不包括分紅)。
Since the stock has added CN¥435m to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.
由於該股票僅在過去一個星期就增加了人民幣43500萬的市值,讓我們看看潛在的業績是否推動了長期回報。
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
雖然市場是一個強大的定價機制,但股價反映了投資者情緒,不僅僅是基本業績。一種有缺陷但合理的評估公司周圍情緒如何變化的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。
Over half a decade, Shandong Jinling Mining managed to grow its earnings per share at 0.8% a year. This EPS growth is lower than the 5% average annual increase in the share price. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth.
在半個世紀的時間裏,山東金嶺礦業成功地以每年0.8%的速度增長了每股收益。這種每股收益的增長低於股價年均增長額的5%。因此,可以合理地假設市場對該業務的看法高於五年前。考慮到五年來的盈利增長記錄,這並不令人意外。
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下面的圖片中查看每股收益如何隨時間變化(單擊圖表以查看確切的價值)。
It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. This free interactive report on Shandong Jinling Mining's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
值得注意的是,這家公司的CEO的薪酬比同類規模公司的中位數要少。始終關注CEO的薪酬是值得的,但更重要的問題是公司是否會在未來增長收益。如果您想進一步調查該股票,可以從山東金嶺礦業的收益、營業收入和現金流的這份免費互動報告開始。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Shandong Jinling Mining the TSR over the last 5 years was 34%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報率(TSR)。TSR考慮了股權分拆或折價增資的價值,以及通過假設股息再投資來計算任何分紅。因此,對於支付慷慨分紅的公司,TSR通常比股價回報高得多。我們注意到,過去5年山東金嶺礦業的TSR爲34%,比上述提到的股價回報更好。公司支付的股息從而提振了總股東回報。
A Different Perspective
另一種看法
While the broader market gained around 7.4% in the last year, Shandong Jinling Mining shareholders lost 5.5% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 6% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - Shandong Jinling Mining has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
儘管更廣泛的市場去年收益約爲7.4%,但山東金嶺礦業的股東虧損了5.5%(包括分紅在內)。即使好股票的股價有時也會下跌,但在我們對一家業務的基本指標看到改善之前,我們不會過於感興趣。值得一提的是,長期股東獲利,過去半個十年每年增長6%。如果基本數據繼續表明長期可持續增長,當前的拋售可能是值得考慮的機會。我發現長期觀察股價作爲業務表現的替代指標非常有趣。但要真正獲取見解,我們需要考慮其他信息。比如,冒險 - 山東金嶺礦業有1個警示標誌,我們認爲您應該注意。
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
如果您喜歡與管理層一起購買股票,那麼您可能會喜歡這個公司的免費列表。 (提示:其中許多公司不爲人注意且具有吸引力的估值。)
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。