Is Guangzhou Wondfo BiotechLtd (SZSE:300482) A Risky Investment?
Is Guangzhou Wondfo BiotechLtd (SZSE:300482) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Guangzhou Wondfo Biotech Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300482) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
傳說中的基金經理李錄(查理·芒格支持他)曾說過:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受資本的永久損失。」所以,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,考慮債務可能是顯而易見的,因爲過多的債務可能會毀掉一家公司。重要的是,萬孚生物股份有限公司(SZSE:300482)確實負債。但更重要的問題是:這些債務帶來了多少風險?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時有危險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
一般來說,只有當一家公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題,要麼通過籌集資本,要麼通過自身現金流。資本主義的一個重要組成部分是「創造性毀滅」過程,失敗的企業會被其銀行家無情清算。然而,更頻繁發生的情況是一家公司必須以低於市價的價格發行股份,從而永久地稀釋股東,以鞏固其資產負債表。然而,債務可以替代股權稀釋,對於需要資本以高回報率投資於增長的企業來說,債務是一個極好的工具。當我們考慮一家公司使用債務時,我們首先要看現金和債務合計。
How Much Debt Does Guangzhou Wondfo BiotechLtd Carry?
萬孚生物有限公司負債多少?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Guangzhou Wondfo BiotechLtd had CN¥564.0m in debt in September 2024; about the same as the year before. But it also has CN¥2.11b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥1.55b net cash.
下方圖表(您可以點擊獲取更多細節)顯示,萬孚生物有限公司在2024年9月的負債爲56400萬人民幣;與前一年大致相同。但它還有21.1億人民幣的現金來彌補這部分,意味着它擁有15.5億人民幣的淨現金。
A Look At Guangzhou Wondfo BiotechLtd's Liabilities
看萬孚生物的負債
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Guangzhou Wondfo BiotechLtd had liabilities of CN¥504.8m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥678.7m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.11b and CN¥960.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥1.89b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
仔細查看最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到萬孚生物的負債爲50480萬人民幣,需在12個月內償還,超過12個月的負債爲67870萬人民幣。另一方面,它擁有現金21.1億人民幣和價值96040萬人民幣的應收賬款,需在一年內償還。因此,它實際上擁有18.9億人民幣的流動資產,遠超總負債。
This surplus suggests that Guangzhou Wondfo BiotechLtd is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Guangzhou Wondfo BiotechLtd has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
這種盈餘表明萬孚生物在使用債務方面,看起來既安全又保守。鑑於它的短期流動性十分充足,我們認爲它與貸方之間不會有任何問題。簡單來說,萬孚生物的現金超過債務,這無疑是一個表明它能夠安全管理債務的良好跡象。
In addition to that, we're happy to report that Guangzhou Wondfo BiotechLtd has boosted its EBIT by 38%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Guangzhou Wondfo BiotechLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
此外,我們很高興地報告萬孚生物的EBIT提高了38%,從而減少了未來債務償還的壓力。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需集中關注的領域。但最終,業務的未來盈利能力將決定萬孚生物是否能夠隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想知道專業人士的看法,您可能會發現這份有關分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Guangzhou Wondfo BiotechLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the most recent three years, Guangzhou Wondfo BiotechLtd recorded free cash flow worth 51% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
但我們最終的考慮也同樣重要,因爲公司不能用紙面利潤償還債務; 需要的是現金。萬孚生物可能在資產負債表上有淨現金,但查看該業務將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響它管理債務的需求和能力。在最近三年中,萬孚生物的自由現金流佔其EBIT的51%,這大致是正常的,因爲自由現金流不包括利息和稅費。這筆現金意味着它可以在需要的時候減少債務。
Summing Up
總之
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Guangzhou Wondfo BiotechLtd has CN¥1.55b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 38% over the last year. So we don't think Guangzhou Wondfo BiotechLtd's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Guangzhou Wondfo BiotechLtd that you should be aware of before investing here.
雖然調查一家公司的債務總是明智的,但在這種情況下,萬孚生物擁有15.5億人民幣的淨現金和一個看起來相當不錯的資產負債表。並且它讓我們印象深刻的是過去一年其EBIT增長了38%。因此,我們認爲萬孚生物使用債務並不冒險。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的債務最多。但是最終,每個公司都可能存在資產負債表之外的風險。例如,我們發現了萬孚生物的兩個警告信號,你在投資之前應該了解這些。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。