Optimism for Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials (SZSE:300196) Has Grown This Past Week, Despite Five-year Decline in Earnings
Optimism for Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials (SZSE:300196) Has Grown This Past Week, Despite Five-year Decline in Earnings
Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. Buying under-rated businesses is one path to excess returns. For example, the Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials Co., Ltd (SZSE:300196) share price is up 43% in the last 5 years, clearly besting the market return of around 16% (ignoring dividends).
一般來說,積極選股的目標是尋找提供高於市場平均回報的公司。買入被低估的企業是獲取超額回報的一種途徑。例如,最近5年來江蘇長海複合材料股份有限公司(SZSE:300196)的股價上漲了43%,明顯超過市場回報約16%(不考慮分紅)。
Since it's been a strong week for Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.
由於江蘇長海股份股東度過了強勁的一週,讓我們來看看更長期基本面的趨勢。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
市場有時候是有效的,但價格並不總是反映公司的基本業務表現。通過比較每股收益和股價變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的看法如何隨着時間變化而變化。
During five years of share price growth, Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials actually saw its EPS drop 7.0% per year.
在股價增長的五年中,江蘇長海股份每股收益實際上每年下降了7.0%。
Essentially, it doesn't seem likely that investors are focused on EPS. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
實際上,投資者似乎並沒有關注EPS。由於EPS的變化似乎與股價的變化不相關,因此值得關注其他指標。
The modest 1.2% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. In contrast revenue growth of 5.7% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials is growing, a real positive. It's quite possible that management are prioritizing revenue growth over EPS growth at the moment.
1.2%的謙虛股息率不太可能支撐股價。相比之下,每年5.7%的營業收入增長可能被視爲證明,表明長海股份正在增長,這是一個真正的積極信號。目前很可能管理層正在優先考慮營業收入增長,而不是每股收益增長。
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下方圖片中看到盈利和營業收入隨時間的變化(單擊圖表查看準確數值)。

This free interactive report on Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials' balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
如果您想進一步調查該股票,江蘇長海複合材料的資產負債表實力這份免費互動報告是一個很好的起點。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials the TSR over the last 5 years was 51%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
投資者除了衡量股價回報外,還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。 TSR是一個回報計算,考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設任何收到的股息都已經再投資)以及計算出的任何折價的增資和分拆的價值。可以說TSR爲支付股息的股票提供了一個更完整的圖片。我們注意到,對於江蘇長海複合材料,過去5年的TSR爲51%,高於上面提到的股價回報。因此,公司支付的股息已經提升了總股東回報。
A Different Perspective
另一種看法
Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials shareholders are down 1.7% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 7.4%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 9% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials you should know about.
江蘇長海複合材料的股東在今年下跌了1.7%(包括分紅在內),但市場本身上漲了7.4%。然而,請記住,即使是表現最佳的股票有時也會在十二個月的時間內表現不佳。 光明的一面是,長期股東已經賺到錢,五年多一半的時間內每年增長9%。最近的拋售行爲可能是一個機會,所以值得檢查基本數據是否顯示出長期增長趨勢的跡象。 跟蹤股價表現長期來看總是很有趣。但要更好地理解江蘇長海複合材料,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。 例如,考慮風險。每家公司都有風險,我們已經發現江蘇長海複合材料存在2個警告信號,你應該知道。
For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
對於那些喜歡尋找獲勝投資的人來說,最近有內部購買的低估公司免費列表可能是一個很好的選擇。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。