Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at Sanxiang Impression (SZSE:000863) the Stock Rises 9.0%, Bringing Three-year Gains to 45%
Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at Sanxiang Impression (SZSE:000863) the Stock Rises 9.0%, Bringing Three-year Gains to 45%
By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But many of us dare to dream of bigger returns, and build a portfolio ourselves. For example, the Sanxiang Impression Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000863) share price is up 40% in the last three years, clearly besting the market decline of around 17% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 8.1% in the last year.
通過購買指數基金,您可以輕鬆地大致匹配市場回報。但我們中的許多人敢於夢想更高的回報,並自己建立投資組合。例如,三湘印象有限公司(深交所代碼:000863)的股價在過去三年中上漲了40%,明顯超過了市場下降約17%的水平(不包括分紅派息)。然而,最近的回報並沒有那麼令人印象深刻,股價在去年僅上漲了8.1%。
Since the stock has added CN¥378m to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.
由於該股票在過去一週內爲其市值增加了37800萬人民幣,看看基礎表現是否在推動長期回報。
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
雖然有效市場假說仍然被一些人教授,但被證明市場是過度反應的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。檢查市場情緒如何隨時間變化的一種方法是看一個公司的股價與其每股收益(EPS)之間的交互作用。
During the three years of share price growth, Sanxiang Impression actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 48% per year.
在三年的股價增長期間,三湘印象的每股收益(EPS)實際上每年下降了48%。
So we doubt that the market is looking to EPS for its main judge of the company's value. Therefore, we think it's worth considering other metrics as well.
因此,我們懷疑市場主要會根據每股收益來評估公司的價值。因此,我們認爲也值得考慮其他的主要指標。
The revenue drop of 58% is as underwhelming as some politicians. The only thing that's clear is there is low correlation between Sanxiang Impression's share price and its historic fundamental data. Further research may be required!
營業收入下降58%讓人失望,就像某些政客一樣。 唯一可以確定的是,三湘印象的股價與其歷史基本數據之間的相關性較低。 可能需要進一步研究!
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
以下圖像顯示了公司的營業收入和盈利(隨時間變化)(單擊以查看準確的數字)。
This free interactive report on Sanxiang Impression's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
如果您想進一步調查這隻股票,那麼關於三湘印象資產負債表強度的這份免費互動報告是一個很好的開始。
What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
那麼,股東總回報(TSR)呢?
We'd be remiss not to mention the difference between Sanxiang Impression's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Its history of dividend payouts mean that Sanxiang Impression's TSR of 45% over the last 3 years is better than the share price return.
我們不能不提三湘印象的總股東回報率(TSR)與其股價回報之間的差異。可以說,TSR是更完整的回報計算,因爲它考慮了分紅的價值(就好像它們被再投資一樣),以及提供給股東的任何折扣資本的假設價值。 其分紅支付歷史意味着三湘印象在過去3年中的45% TSR優於股價回報。
A Different Perspective
另一種看法
Sanxiang Impression provided a TSR of 8.1% over the year. That's fairly close to the broader market return. To take a positive view, the gain is pleasing, and it sure beats annualized TSR loss of 0.3%, which was endured over half a decade. While 'turnarounds seldom turn' there are green shoots for Sanxiang Impression. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Sanxiang Impression that you should be aware of.
三湘印象在過去一年提供了8.1%的總回報率。這接近於大盤的整體回報率。積極來看,收益令人滿意,確實超過了年化總回報率損失0.3%的情況,而這種損失持續了近五年。雖然「逆轉很少發生」,但三湘印象卻有一些積極的跡象。我覺得長期來看股票價格作爲業務表現的代理指標是非常有趣的。但要真正獲得洞察,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,我們已識別出1個您應該注意的三湘印象的警告信號。
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
如果您喜歡與管理層一起購買股票,那麼您可能會喜歡這個公司的免費列表。 (提示:其中許多公司不爲人注意且具有吸引力的估值。)
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。