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We Think That There Are More Issues For Guoguang Electric (SZSE:002045) Than Just Sluggish Earnings

We Think That There Are More Issues For Guoguang Electric (SZSE:002045) Than Just Sluggish Earnings

我們認爲國光電器(SZSE:002045)存在的問題不僅僅是收益疲軟
Simply Wall St ·  2024/10/29 15:16

A lackluster earnings announcement from Guoguang Electric Company Limited (SZSE:002045) last week didn't sink the stock price. However, we believe that investors should be aware of some underlying factors which may be of concern.

上週國光電器股份有限公司(SZSE:002045)發佈了一則平淡的收益公告,並沒有使股價下跌。 但我們認爲投資者應該注意一些潛在問題。

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SZSE:002045 Earnings and Revenue History October 29th 2024
SZSE:002045利潤和營收歷史數據2024年10月29日

To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. As it happens, Guoguang Electric issued 22% more new shares over the last year. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. Check out Guoguang Electric's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

爲了了解公司收益增長的價值,有必要考慮股東利益的任何稀釋。 事實上,國光電器在過去一年發行了多達22%的新增股份。 因此,現在每股股票獲得的利潤份額更少。 盲目慶祝淨利潤,而忽視了稀釋,就像高興因爲你有一塊更大的比薩餅的一小塊,但卻忽略了比薩餅現在被切成更多薄片的事實。 通過點擊此鏈接查看國光電器的歷史每股收益增長。

How Is Dilution Impacting Guoguang Electric's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?

稀釋如何影響國光電器的每股收益(EPS)?

As you can see above, Guoguang Electric has been growing its net income over the last few years, with an annualized gain of 85% over three years. But EPS was only up 59% per year, in the exact same period. Net income was down 8.7% over the last twelve months. But the EPS result was even worse, with the company recording a decline of 24%. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns.

如上所示,國光電器在過去幾年中增加了其淨利潤,年化增長率爲85%。 但每股收益在相同時期僅增長了59%。 淨利潤在過去十二個月中下降了8.7%。 但EPS的結果甚至更糟,公司記錄了下降24%。 因此,稀釋對股東回報產生顯着影響。

In the long term, if Guoguang Electric's earnings per share can increase, then the share price should too. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

從長期來看,如果國光電器的每股收益能夠增加,那麼股價也會上漲。 但另一方面,我們會對得知利潤(但不是EPS)在增加感到更少興奮。 出於這個原因,你可以說EPS在長期內比淨利潤更重要,假設目標是評估公司股價是否會增長。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓您想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看基於其估計的未來盈利能力的互動圖表。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

除了稀釋之外,還應該注意的是,萬集科技在過去12個月中因不尋常項目獲得了價值人民幣3.5萬元的利潤。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當這些不尋常項目對利潤做出重大貢獻時,我們會更加謹慎。我們對全球大部分上市公司的數據進行了分析,發現不尋常項目往往是一次性的。這正如我們所期望的那樣,因爲這些提升被描述爲"不尋常"。相對於其利潤而言,萬集科技在2021年12月前的不尋常項目貢獻大。因此,我們可以推斷出,這些不尋常項目正在使其財務利潤顯著增強。

Alongside that dilution, it's also important to note that Guoguang Electric's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥43m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

除了稀釋問題外,值得注意的是,在過去十二個月裏,國光電器的利潤受到價值4300萬人民幣的飛凡項目的推動。雖然盈利增加總是件好事,但飛凡項目所帶來的較大貢獻有時會減弱我們的熱情。我們對全球大多數上市公司進行了數據分析,發現飛凡項目往往是一次性的。這一點並不奇怪,顧名思義。假設這些飛凡項目在當年不再出現,我們因此預計下一年的利潤會較弱(在無業務增長的情況下)。

Our Take On Guoguang Electric's Profit Performance

我們對國光電器的利潤表現的看法

In its last report Guoguang Electric benefitted from unusual items which boosted its profit, which could make the profit seem better than it really is on a sustainable basis. On top of that, the dilution means that its earnings per share performance is worse than its profit performance. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Guoguang Electric's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. At Simply Wall St, we found 1 warning sign for Guoguang Electric and we think they deserve your attention.

在最新的報告中,國光電器受益於推動其利潤的飛凡項目,這可能會讓利潤在可持續基礎上看起來比實際情況好。此外,稀釋意味着它的每股收益表現比利潤表現更糟。基於上述原因,我們認爲僅僅粗略看一眼國光電器的法定利潤可能使其看起來比實際情況好。因此,如果您想深入了解這支股票,考慮其所面臨的任何風險至關重要。在Simply Wall St,我們發現有1個警告信號針對國光電器,我們認爲這值得您關注。

Our examination of Guoguang Electric has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

我們對國光電器的審查主要集中在一些因素上,這些因素可能使其盈利看起來比實際情況要好。因此,基於這一點,我們對此持懷疑態度。但是,如果您能專注於細枝末節,總能發現更多。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的指標,而另一些人則喜歡「跟隨資金」並尋找內部人員正在買入的股票。雖然這可能需要您進行一些研究,但您可能會發現這些公司的免費股本回報率集合,或者這些持有顯著內部持股的股票清單對您有所幫助。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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