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Luxshare Precision Industry Co., Ltd. Beat Revenue Forecasts By 8.9%: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Luxshare Precision Industry Co., Ltd. Beat Revenue Forecasts By 8.9%: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

立訊精密股份有限公司的營業收入高於預期8.9%:分析師們接下來的預測是什麼
Simply Wall St ·  10/29 18:32

Shareholders might have noticed that Luxshare Precision Industry Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002475) filed its quarterly result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 5.7% to CN¥43.42 in the past week. Results overall were respectable, with statutory earnings of CN¥0.51 per share roughly in line with what the analysts had forecast. Revenues of CN¥74b came in 8.9% ahead of analyst predictions. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

股東可能已經注意到,立訊精密工業股份有限公司(SZSE:002475)在上週這個時候提交了季度業績。 初始反應並不樂觀,過去一週股價下跌了5.7%,至43.42元人民幣。整體業績尚可,每股盈利爲0.51元人民幣,與分析師預測大致相符。營業收入爲740億人民幣,比分析師預測高出8.9%。分析師通常會在每份業績後更新他們的預測,我們可以從他們的估計中判斷公司的看法是否有所改變,或者是否有任何需要注意的新問題。 因此,我們收集了最新的業績後預測,以了解預估暗示未來一年可能出現什麼情況。

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SZSE:002475 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 29th 2024
SZSE:002475 2024年10月29日的盈利和營收增長

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Luxshare Precision Industry from 29 analysts is for revenues of CN¥300.2b in 2025. If met, it would imply a solid 19% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to bounce 39% to CN¥2.44. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥296.0b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥2.44 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

考慮到最新業績,來自29位分析師的立訊精密工業2025年營收的最新共識爲3002億人民幣。如果實現,將意味着過去12個月營收實現了穩健的19%增長。預計每股收益將增長39%,達到2.44元人民幣。 在此報告之前,分析師們一直在模擬2025年的2960億人民幣的營收和每股盈利(EPS)2.44元人民幣。 所以很明顯,儘管分析師已更新他們的預測,但在最新結果之後對業務的期望沒有發生重大變化。

With the analysts reconfirming their revenue and earnings forecasts, it's surprising to see that the price target rose 5.1% to CN¥49.72. It looks as though they previously had some doubts over whether the business would live up to their expectations. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on Luxshare Precision Industry, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥62.70 and the most bearish at CN¥33.00 per share. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.

隨着分析師重新確認其營收和盈利預測,令人驚訝的是,目標價上漲了5.1%,至49.72元人民幣。看來他們此前對業務是否能達到他們的期望曾有一些懷疑。 還值得關注的是分析師預測範圍,以評估離群意見與平均意見有多大不同。對立訊精密工業有一些不同的看法,最看好的分析師將其價值定爲62.70元人民幣,而最看淡的爲33.00元人民幣每股。 正如您所看到的,分析師對股票的未來並不都持相同觀點,但預測範圍仍然相對窄,這可能表明結果並非完全不可預測。

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Luxshare Precision Industry's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 15% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 28% over the past five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 18% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Luxshare Precision Industry is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.

當然,查看這些預測的另一種方式是將它們與行業板塊本身進行對比。很明顯,人們預期立訊精密的營業收入增長將大幅放緩,到2025年底,預計年均增長率爲15%。這與過去五年28%的歷史增長率相比。將這與行業中其他公司(根據分析師預測)進行比較,預計這些公司的年均營收增長率爲18%。考慮到增長放緩的預測,顯然立訊精密也預計會比其他行業參與者增長速度慢。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.

最重要的是,分析師們沒有看到任何影響他們對於公司之前每股收益的估計的觀點發生改變。好的一方面是營收預估沒有發生重大變化,儘管預測表明它們將表現不如更廣泛的行業。我們注意到價格目標的升級,這表明分析師認爲企業的內在價值可能會隨時間的推移而提高。

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for Luxshare Precision Industry going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

話雖如此,公司收益的長期軌跡比明年更重要。我們對立訊精密的2026年預測已出,您可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

You can also see whether Luxshare Precision Industry is carrying too much debt, and whether its balance sheet is healthy, for free on our platform here.

您還可以免費在我們的平台上查看立訊精密是否負債過重,以及其資產負債表是否健康。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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