Frontken's earnings delivery rebounded strongly in 3Q24 with marked sequential improvements across key markets. Despite lowering FY24E earnings by 8% (FY25E/26E maintained), Maybank IB said it raises its TP to MYR4.95 (+18%).
Results miss, but plenty of silver linings
Ex-one offs (-MYR0.7m), FRCB's registered 3Q24 core net profit (CNP) of MYR36.0m (+37% YoY, +11% QoQ). Cumulatively, 9M24 CNP of MYR95.1m (+21% YoY) fell short of estimates, coming in at just 63% of ours and consensus' FY24E. Buoyed by a stronger-than-expected sequential pickup in MY and SG turnover, FRCB's 3Q24 group turnover of MYR144.3m (+8%
YoY, +7% QoQ) was its highest quarterly turnover on record. Segmental revenue also exceeded MYR100m in TW for the first time on record.
MY woes resolved; gearing-up for a stronger FY25
Positively, SG and MY EBIT margins rebounded with sequential improvements of +3ppts/+5ppts after a weak 2Q24 (Kulim plant fire, O&G invoice timing issues). SG run-rates continue to track higher in QtD-4Q24, underpinned by improving order visibility from semicon customers. In MY, FRCB's Kulim plant is back to full operational capacity, while its O&G invoicing uncertainties seem resolved as the house gathers its customers are in the process of renewing their contracts.
Notwithstanding an expected strong finish to the year in 4Q24E, Maybank IB cuts the FY24E earnings by 8%, but maintain FY25E/26E earnings. With the worst likely behind FRCB, the house opines that resilient FE semicon growth momentum in SG will continue to drive FRCB's group earnings higher in FY25E
Frontken的收益交付在24年第三季度強勁反彈,主要市場連續明顯改善。儘管將 FY24E 的收益降低了8%(維持在25E/26E財年),但馬來亞銀行表示已將其目標股價提高至4.95馬幣(+18%)。
業績不佳,但還有很多一線希望
除一次性外(-70萬馬幣),FRCB的24年第三季度核心淨利潤(CNP)爲3600萬馬幣(同比增長37%,環比增長11%)。累計而言,9M24 CNP爲9510萬馬幣(同比增長21%)低於預期,僅爲我們和共識的 FY24E 的63%。受馬來西亞和新加坡營業額連續回升強於預期的推動,FRCB24第三季度集團營業額爲14430萬馬幣(+8%)
同比,環比增長7%)是有記錄以來最高的季度營業額。分部收入也有記錄以來首次超過臺幣10000萬令吉。
我的困境解決了;爲更強勁的25財年做準備
在經歷了 24 年第二季度的疲軟(庫林工廠火災、O&G 發票時間問題)之後,SG 和 MY 息稅前利潤率出現了積極反彈,分別連續提高了+3 個百分點/+5 個百分點。在半導體客戶訂單能見度提高的支撐下,24 財年第四季度的 SG 運轉率繼續走高。在馬來西亞,FRCB 的居林工廠已恢復滿負荷生產,而其 O&G 發票的不確定性似乎也已解決,因爲該公司收集到其客戶正在續簽合同。
儘管預期 FRCB 將在 24E 第四季度強勁收尾,但 Maybank IB 仍將 24E 財年的盈利下調 8%,但維持 25E/26E 財年的盈利。該行認爲,由於最壞的情況可能已經過去,新加坡政府的 FE 半導體增長勢頭將繼續推動 FRCB 在 25E 財年的集團盈利增長。