Is Weifu High-Technology Group (SZSE:000581) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Weifu High-Technology Group (SZSE:000581) Using Too Much Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Weifu High-Technology Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000581) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
傳奇基金經理李錄(得到查理·芒格支持)曾經說過,「最大的投資風險不是價格波動,而是您是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。」 當我們考慮一家公司有多大風險時,我們總是喜歡看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過載可能導致滅頂之災。我們可以看到蘇威孚b(SZSE:000581)確實在業務中使用債務。但更重要的問題是:這些債務產生了多大風險?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是通過新資本還是通過自由現金流。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制企業。然而,更爲頻繁但仍然昂貴的情況是,公司必須以廉價的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以加強其資產負債表。慶幸的是,最常見的情況是企業合理管理其債務,並利用這種債務的優勢。考慮公司的債務水平時的第一步是將其現金和債務同時考慮在內。
What Is Weifu High-Technology Group's Net Debt?
蘇威孚b的淨債務是多少?
As you can see below, Weifu High-Technology Group had CN¥651.8m of debt at September 2024, down from CN¥1.74b a year prior. However, it does have CN¥4.74b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥4.08b.
正如您可以在下面看到的,蘇威孚b在2024年9月的時候有65180萬元的債務,比一年前的 17.4億人民幣有所下降。然而,它確實有 47.4億人民幣的現金抵消這筆債務,導致淨現金達到了 40.8億人民幣。
How Strong Is Weifu High-Technology Group's Balance Sheet?
蘇威孚b的資產負債表有多強?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Weifu High-Technology Group had liabilities of CN¥7.02b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥515.7m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥4.74b as well as receivables valued at CN¥6.35b due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥3.55b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
我們可以從最近的資產負債表看到,蘇威孚b有短期到期的負債爲70.2億元人民幣,長期到期的負債爲51570萬元人民幣。 抵消這些義務,其現金爲47.4億元人民幣,應收賬款價值爲63.5億元人民幣,其中12個月內到期。 因此,它實際上比總負債多擁有35.5億元人民幣的流動資產。
This excess liquidity suggests that Weifu High-Technology Group is taking a careful approach to debt. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, Weifu High-Technology Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
這種多餘的流動性表明蘇威孚b對債務採取了謹慎的態度。由於其強大的淨資產狀況,它不太可能與其貸款人遇到問題。 簡而言之,蘇威孚b擁有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!
It was also good to see that despite losing money on the EBIT line last year, Weifu High-Technology Group turned things around in the last 12 months, delivering and EBIT of CN¥420m. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Weifu High-Technology Group will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
去年在EBIt線上虧損,但令人高興的是,蘇威孚b在過去12個月扭虧爲盈,EBIT爲42000萬元人民幣。 當您分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的領域。 但您不能孤立地看待債務;因爲蘇威孚b需要收入來償還債務。 因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得關注收入趨勢。 單擊此處查看交互式快照。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Weifu High-Technology Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last year, Weifu High-Technology Group generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 85% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
但我們的最後一項考慮也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤償還債務;它需要有現金。蘇威孚b可能在資產負債表上有淨現金,但查看業務將其利潤在利息和稅前(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力也很有趣,因爲這將影響其管理債務的必要性和能力。 在過去一年中,蘇威孚b產生的自由現金流金額相當可觀,爲其EBIt的85%,超出我們的預期。 這使其有很強償還債務的能力。
Summing Up
總之
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Weifu High-Technology Group has net cash of CN¥4.08b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥355m, being 85% of its EBIT. So is Weifu High-Technology Group's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Weifu High-Technology Group has 2 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.
雖然我們理解投資者對債務感到擔憂,但您應該牢記,蘇威孚b賬上淨現金40.8億人民幣,流動資產超過負債。並且,其自由現金流爲35500萬元人民幣,相當於EBIT的85%。 所以,蘇威孚b的債務是否存在風險?在我們看來並不是。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的重點。但最終,任何公司都可能存在超出資產負債表之外的風險。例如,蘇威孚b存在2個警示(以及1個不容忽視的警示),我們認爲您應該了解。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。
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