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Foryou Corporation (SZSE:002906) Just Beat EPS By 9.7%: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Next Year

Foryou Corporation (SZSE:002906) Just Beat EPS By 9.7%: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Next Year

華陽集團(SZSE:002906) 每股收益超出9.7%: 分析師對明年的預測是什麼
Simply Wall St ·  10/30 18:25

Foryou Corporation (SZSE:002906) defied analyst predictions to release its quarterly results, which were ahead of market expectations. Results were good overall, with revenues beating analyst predictions by 9.1% to hit CN¥2.6b. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) came in at CN¥0.34, some 9.7% above whatthe analysts had expected. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

華陽集團(SZSE:002906)違背分析師的預測發佈了季度業績,超出了市場預期。總體來看,業績表現良好,營業收入超出分析師的預測9.1%,達到人民幣26億。每股收益爲人民幣0.34,比分析師預期高出9.7%。根據這一結果,分析師已更新了他們的盈利模型,了解他們是否認爲公司前景發生了巨大變化,還是一切如常將是一件好事。我們已經收集了最新的法定預測,看看分析師在這些結果後是否改變了他們的盈利模型。

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SZSE:002906 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 30th 2024
SZSE:002906 2024年10月30日的收益和營業收入增長

Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Foryou's twelve analysts is for revenues of CN¥11.7b in 2025. This reflects a major 27% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to leap 35% to CN¥1.63. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of CN¥11.2b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.56 in 2025. It looks like there's been a modest increase in sentiment following the latest results, withthe analysts becoming a bit more optimistic in their predictions for both revenues and earnings.

考慮到最新的結果,華陽集團的十二名分析師從2025年預計營業收入將達到人民幣117億。這反映了與過去12個月相比,營業收入將大幅提高27%。預計每股收益將增長35%,達到人民幣1.63。然而,在最新盈利數據之前,分析師們預期2025年的營業收入爲人民幣112億,每股收益(EPS)爲人民幣1.56。看起來在最新結果發佈後,情緒有所增加,分析師們對營收和盈利的預測更爲樂觀。

With these upgrades, we're not surprised to see that the analysts have lifted their price target 8.5% to CN¥41.31per share. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. There are some variant perceptions on Foryou, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥51.00 and the most bearish at CN¥25.50 per share. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.

隨着這些升級,我們並不奇怪看到分析師將他們的每股價值目標提高了8.5%,達到人民幣41.31每股。然而,查看分析師提出的價格目標範圍,也是一種思考價格目標的另一種方式,因爲廣泛的估計範圍可能意味着對業務可能結果存在不同看法。對於華陽集團,存在一些不同的看法,最看好的分析師將其估值爲人民幣51.00,而最看淡的則爲人民幣25.50每股。這是一個相當廣泛的估值範圍,表明分析師正在預測業務的多種可能結果。

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. The period to the end of 2025 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 21% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 22% annual growth over the past five years. Juxtapose this against our data, which suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 18% per year. It's clear that while Foryou's revenue growth is expected to continue on its current trajectory, it's only expected to grow in line with the industry itself.

另一種我們可以查看這些估計的方式是在更大的背景下,比如預測與過去表現的對比,以及相對於行業其他公司是否更看好。截至2025年底的週期將更多地呈現相同的情況,據分析師稱,預計營業收入將以每年21%的速度增長。這與過去五年22%的年增長率相符。將這一點與我們的數據相對比,顯示出行業內其他受到分析師關注的公司預計收入每年將增長18%。很明顯,儘管Foryou的營收增長有望繼續與當前軌跡保持一致,但預計僅在與整個行業保持一致的情況下增長。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Foryou's earnings potential next year. They also upgraded their revenue forecasts, although the latest estimates suggest that Foryou will grow in line with the overall industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.

對我們來說最大的收穫是一致的每股收益升級,這表明了對Foryou明年每股收益潛力的樂觀情緒明顯改善。他們還對營收預測進行了升級,儘管最新預測表明預計Foryou將與整個行業一樣增長。我們注意到價格目標的提升,表明分析師認爲企業的內在價值可能會隨着時間的推移而提高。

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple Foryou analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

繼續這種思路,我們認爲業務的長期前景比明年的收益更加重要。我們有預測-來自多位Foryou分析師-一直到2026年,您可以在我們的平台上免費查看這些數據。

And what about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Foryou you should know about.

那麼風險呢?每家公司都會面臨風險,我們發現了Foryou的一個警示信號,您應該了解。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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