Global Infotech (SZSE:300465) Is Posting Promising Earnings But The Good News Doesn't Stop There
Global Infotech (SZSE:300465) Is Posting Promising Earnings But The Good News Doesn't Stop There
Global Infotech Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300465) recent earnings report didn't offer any surprises, with the shares unchanged over the last week. We did some digging, and we think that investors are missing some encouraging factors in the underlying numbers.
高偉達公司(SZSE:300465)最近的收益報告沒有帶來任何驚喜,股價在過去一週保持不變。我們進行了一些調查,認爲投資者忽略了一些潛在的鼓舞人心因素。
Examining Cashflow Against Global Infotech's Earnings
分析現金流與高偉達的盈利情況
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
衡量公司將其利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的一個重要財務比率是應計比率。 應計比率將FCF從給定時期的利潤中減去,並將結果除以公司在該期間的平均運營資產。 您可以將非自由現金流獲利比率視爲從現金流中提取的應計比率。
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
這意味着負責任的比率爲好事,因爲它表明公司所帶來的自由現金流比利潤所表明的要多。這並不是要暗示我們應該擔心正的負責任率,但值得注意的是,在負責任比率相當高的地方有一些學術證據表明,負責任比率高是近期利潤的一個不好的徵兆。
Global Infotech has an accrual ratio of -0.12 for the year to September 2024. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥130m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥31.5m. Given that Global Infotech had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of CN¥130m would seem to be a step in the right direction. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
高偉達2024年9月份的獲利比例爲-0.12。因此,其法定收益相當大地少於其自由現金流。事實上,在過去一年中,其自由現金流達到了13000萬人民幣,遠遠超過了其3150萬人民幣的法定利潤。考慮到高偉達在上一對應期間有負的自由現金流,最近十二個月的1.3億人民幣利潤似乎是朝着正確方向邁出的一步。然而,要考慮的遠不止這些。我們可以看到不尋常項目影響了其法定利潤,因而影響了獲利比例。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Global Infotech.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的強度。單擊此處查看我們對高偉達資產負債表分析。
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
非常規項目如何影響利潤?
While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Global Infotech's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥4.2m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).
儘管應計比率可能是個好兆頭,但我們也注意到,高達420萬人民幣的飛凡項目推動了高偉達在過去12個月的利潤。我們無法否認,更高的利潤通常讓我們感到樂觀,但如果利潤能持續下去的話,那會更好。當我們分析全球大多數上市公司時,我們發現重大的飛凡項目通常不會重複出現。考慮到名字,這並不奇怪。假設這些飛凡項目在當前年度不再出現,我們因此預計下一年利潤會較弱(在沒有業務增長的情況下)。
Our Take On Global Infotech's Profit Performance
我們對高偉達的利潤表現的看法
In conclusion, Global Infotech's accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Given the contrasting considerations, we don't have a strong view as to whether Global Infotech's profits are an apt reflection of its underlying potential for profit. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Global Infotech.
總的來說,高偉達的應計比率表明其法定收益質量良好,但另一方面,利潤受到飛凡項目的推動。考慮到這些相互矛盾的因素,我們對於高偉達的利潤是否恰當地反映了其潛在盈利能力並沒有強烈看法。考慮到這一點,除非我們全面了解風險,否則我們不會考慮投資股票。例如,我們發現了1項警示信號,您應該留意以更全面地了解高偉達。
Our examination of Global Infotech has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
我們對高偉達的檢查重點放在一些因素上,這些因素可能讓其收益看起來更好。但有許多其他方法可以幫助您評估一家公司。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率暗示着有利可圖的商業經濟,而其他人則喜歡「跟隨資金」並尋找內部人在買入的股票。雖然這可能需要您做一些調查研究,但您可能會發現身爲幾家公司自由現金流佔優勢的公司的收集,或股東持股顯著的股票清單對您非常有用。
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