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Analysts Just Made A Major Revision To Their Jiangsu Boqian New Materials Stock Co., Ltd. (SHSE:605376) Revenue Forecasts

Analysts Just Made A Major Revision To Their Jiangsu Boqian New Materials Stock Co., Ltd. (SHSE:605376) Revenue Forecasts

分析師剛剛對博遷新材料股份有限公司(SHSE:605376)的營業收入預測進行了重大修訂
Simply Wall St ·  2024/10/31 08:09

The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for Jiangsu Boqian New Materials Stock Co., Ltd. (SHSE:605376), with the analysts making across-the-board cuts to their statutory estimates that might leave shareholders a little shell-shocked. This report focused on revenue estimates, and it looks as though the consensus view of the business has become substantially more conservative.

最新的分析師覆蓋可能預示着江蘇博遷新材料股份有限公司(SHSE:605376)將度過糟糕的一天,分析師們對其法定估計進行了全面下調,這可能讓股東們感到有些震驚。 該報告側重於營業收入估計,似乎業務的共識觀點變得更加保守。

Following the downgrade, the most recent consensus for Jiangsu Boqian New Materials Stock from its three analysts is for revenues of CN¥1.2b in 2025 which, if met, would be a sizeable 29% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are presumed to soar 343% to CN¥0.68. Previously, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥1.3b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.75 in 2025. Indeed, we can see that analyst sentiment has declined measurably after the new consensus came out, with a substantial drop in revenue estimates and a minor downgrade to EPS estimates to boot.

在下調之後,江蘇博遷新材料股票的最新三位分析師的一致預測是2025年營業收入達到12億元人民幣,如果實現的話,將比過去12個月的銷售額增長29%。根據假設,每股收益預計將激增343%至0.68元人民幣。此前,分析師們曾建模預測2025年營業收入13億元人民幣,每股收益爲0.75元人民幣。事實上,我們可以看到新的共識出爐後,分析師情緒明顯下滑,營業收入預測大幅下降,EPS 預測也略微下調。

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SHSE:605376 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 31st 2024
SHSE:605376 2024年10月31日盈利和營業收入增長

Despite the cuts to forecast earnings, there was no real change to the CN¥23.00 price target, showing that the analysts don't think the changes have a meaningful impact on its intrinsic value.

儘管對預測盈利進行了調整,但23.00元人民幣的目標價位沒有實質性變化,顯示分析師認爲這些變化對其內在價值沒有具體影響。

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. The analysts are definitely expecting Jiangsu Boqian New Materials Stock's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 23% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 7.2% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 9.4% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Jiangsu Boqian New Materials Stock to grow faster than the wider industry.

現在看更大的畫面,理解這些預測的方式之一是將其與過去業績和行業增長預測進行對比。分析師確實預計江蘇博遷新材料股票的增速將加快,預計截至2025年底的年增長率爲23%,與過去五年每年7.2%的歷史增長率相比排名較高。相比之下,我們的數據表明,預期增長率爲9.4%的同行業其他公司(獲得分析師覆蓋)的營業收入增長。很明顯,儘管增長前景比最近更加樂觀,但分析師也預期江蘇博遷新材料股票的增速將快於整個行業。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。

The biggest issue in the new estimates is that analysts have reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds lay ahead for Jiangsu Boqian New Materials Stock. While analysts did downgrade their revenue estimates, these forecasts still imply revenues will perform better than the wider market. Overall, given the drastic downgrade to next year's forecasts, we'd be feeling a little more wary of Jiangsu Boqian New Materials Stock going forwards.

新估算中最大的問題是,分析師已經降低了每股收益的估算,暗示博遷新材股票未來可能面臨業務阻力。 儘管分析師確實調低了他們的營業收入估算,但這些預測仍暗示着收入將比整個市場表現更好。 總體而言,考慮到明年預測的急劇下調,我們對博遷新材股票未來感到更加謹慎。

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Jiangsu Boqian New Materials Stock analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

話雖如此,公司收益的長期軌跡比明年更爲重要。 我們有2026年多位博遷新材股票分析師的估算,您可以在我們的平台免費查看。

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks with high insider ownership.

當然,看到公司管理層投入大量資金投資股票的情況與分析師是否對其評級下調一樣有用。因此,您還可以搜索此處的高內部所有權股票的免費列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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