Is Shanghai Guao Electronic Technology (SZSE:300551) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Shanghai Guao Electronic Technology (SZSE:300551) Using Too Much Debt?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Shanghai Guao Electronic Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300551) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
有人說,作爲投資者,更應該將波動性而不是債務視爲風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過,「波動性與風險遠非同義詞」。因此,聰明的資金知道,在評估一家公司的風險時,債務(通常與破產有關)是一個非常重要的因素。我們可以看到,上海古鰲電子科技股份有限公司(SZSE:300551)在業務中確實使用了債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務到底產生了多少風險呢?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
債務爲企業提供幫助,直到企業無法用新資本或自由現金流來償還債務。最終,如果公司無法履行其法律還債義務,股東可能一文不值地離開。然而,更常見的(但依然痛苦)情況是,公司必須以低價籌集新股本資金,從而永久地稀釋股東權益。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表了廉價資本,特別是當它替代在具有高回報率的公司上再投資時的稀釋時。當我們審視債務水平時,我們首先考慮現金和債務水平,兩者結合在一起。
What Is Shanghai Guao Electronic Technology's Net Debt?
上海古鰲電子科技的淨債務是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Shanghai Guao Electronic Technology had debt of CN¥21.6m, up from none in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥178.4m in cash, so it actually has CN¥156.8m net cash.
下面的圖片(可單擊以查看更詳細信息)顯示,2024年9月,上海古鰲電子科技的債務爲2160萬人民幣,比一年前增加。然而,其資產負債表顯示,它持有17840萬人民幣的現金,因此實際上淨現金爲15680萬人民幣。
A Look At Shanghai Guao Electronic Technology's Liabilities
古鰲科技資產負債情況一覽
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shanghai Guao Electronic Technology had liabilities of CN¥258.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥93.4m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥178.4m in cash and CN¥174.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its total liabilities are just about perfectly matched by its shorter-term, liquid assets.
從最近的資產負債表可以看出,古鰲科技一年內到期的負債爲人民幣25880萬,到期日後的負債爲人民幣9340萬。與此相抵,其有人民幣17840萬現金及人民幣17410萬應於12個月內到期的應收賬款。因此,其總負債幾乎與其短期、流動資產完全匹配。
Having regard to Shanghai Guao Electronic Technology's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥4.83b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Succinctly put, Shanghai Guao Electronic Technology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Shanghai Guao Electronic Technology's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
考慮到古鰲科技的規模,其流動資產似乎與總負債相當平衡。因此,雖然很難想象這家市值48.3億人民幣的公司會因現金緊張而苦苦掙扎,但我們仍認爲值得密切關注其資產負債表。簡單地說,古鰲科技擁有淨現金,因此可以說其沒有沉重的債務負擔!在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯的起點。但古鰲科技的收入將影響資產負債表未來的表現。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得關注收入趨勢。單擊此處查看互動快照。
In the last year Shanghai Guao Electronic Technology had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 43%, to CN¥352m. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
去年,古鰲科技利息和稅前虧損,並實際上使其營業收入減少了43%至人民幣35200萬。這讓我們至少感到緊張。
So How Risky Is Shanghai Guao Electronic Technology?
古鰲科技有多大風險?
While Shanghai Guao Electronic Technology lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow CN¥45m. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. With mediocre revenue growth in the last year, we're don't find the investment opportunity particularly compelling. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Shanghai Guao Electronic Technology that you should be aware of.
雖然古鰲科技在利息和稅前盈利(EBIT)水平上虧損,但實際上產生了人民幣4500萬的正面自由現金流。因此,就其表面價值和考慮淨現金狀況而言,我們認爲該股票在短期內並不太冒險。在過去一年中,營業收入增長中等,我們並不認爲投資機會特別吸引人。在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是要重點關注的領域。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表之外的風險。例如,我們已經發現了古鰲科技的2個警示跡象,你應該注意。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。
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