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We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Wuxi Double Elephant Micro Fibre MaterialLtd's (SZSE:002395) Earnings

We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Wuxi Double Elephant Micro Fibre MaterialLtd's (SZSE:002395) Earnings

我們認爲無錫雙象微纖材料股份有限公司(SZSE:002395)的盈利存在潛在問題
Simply Wall St ·  10/31 18:39

Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Wuxi Double Elephant Micro Fibre Material Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:002395) stock hasn't moved much. Our analysis suggests that shareholders have noticed something concerning in the numbers.

儘管雙象股份(SZSE:002395)發佈了一些強勁的收益,但股票市場並未有太大波動。我們的分析表明,股東在數字中注意到了一些令人擔憂的事情。

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SZSE:002395 Earnings and Revenue History October 31st 2024
SZSE:002395 盈利和營業收入歷史數據2024年10月31日

Examining Cashflow Against Wuxi Double Elephant Micro Fibre MaterialLtd's Earnings

審查現金流與雙象股份的盈利情況

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

正如金融迷已知,從現金流量的計提比率是評估公司自由現金流(FCF)與利潤匹配情況的關鍵指標。簡而言之,這個比率會從淨利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該期間公司的平均經營資產。您可以將現金流計提比率視爲「非FCF利潤比率」。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

這意味着負的應計比率是一件好事,因爲它表明公司帶來的自由現金流比其利潤所顯示的更多。雖然擁有正的應計比率並不是問題,表明一定程度的非現金利潤,但高應計比率可能是一件壞事,因爲這表明紙面利潤不能得到現金流支持。這是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計比率往往導致較低的利潤或利潤增長率。

Over the twelve months to September 2024, Wuxi Double Elephant Micro Fibre MaterialLtd recorded an accrual ratio of 0.29. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit, suggesting we might want to think twice before putting a lot of weight on the latter. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥140m despite its profit of CN¥90.7m, mentioned above. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥140m, this year, indicates high risk. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

在2024年9月的十二個月中,雙象股份的計入比率爲0.29。因此我們可以推斷其自由現金流遠遠不足以覆蓋其法定利潤,這表明我們在給予後者很大權重之前,可能要三思。過去的十二個月裏,儘管其利潤爲9070萬人民幣,但實際上自由現金流爲負值,達到了14000萬人民幣的流出,正如上文所提及。在經歷去年負自由現金流之後,我們可以想象,一些股東可能會質疑今年的1.4億人民幣現金消耗是否表示高風險。話雖如此,事情還有另一面。我們可以看到,一些飛凡事項影響了其法定利潤,進而影響了計入比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Wuxi Double Elephant Micro Fibre MaterialLtd.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊這裏查看我們對雙象股份的資產負債表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

非常規項目如何影響利潤?

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Wuxi Double Elephant Micro Fibre MaterialLtd's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥20m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

考慮到應計比率,不難理解雙象股份過去十二個月的淨利潤因價值2000萬元人民幣的飛凡項目的提振而增加。我們不能否認高利潤通常會讓我們感到樂觀,但我們更希望利潤能夠可持續。當我們對成千上萬家上市公司進行數據分析時,發現一年中由飛凡項目提振的情況往往在下一年不會再次出現。正如你所料,這些提振被描述爲「飛凡」。假設這些飛凡項目在當年不再出現,我們因此預計明年的利潤會較弱(在沒有業務增長的情況下)。

Our Take On Wuxi Double Elephant Micro Fibre MaterialLtd's Profit Performance

我們對雙象股份的利潤表現看法

Summing up, Wuxi Double Elephant Micro Fibre MaterialLtd received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Wuxi Double Elephant Micro Fibre MaterialLtd's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Wuxi Double Elephant Micro Fibre MaterialLtd (including 1 which is a bit unpleasant).

總結一下,雙象股份從飛凡項目獲得了利潤的不錯提振,但無法將紙面利潤與自由現金流匹配。基於上述原因,我們認爲粗略地看一眼雙象股份的法定利潤可能會使其在基本水平上看起來比實際情況要好。請記住,在分析股票時,了解涉及的風險是值得注意的。因此,您應該了解我們發現的雙象股份的2個警示信號(其中1個有點不愉快)。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

在本文中,我們看了許多可能損害利潤數字實用性的因素,我們持謹慎態度。但還有很多其他方法可以了解一家公司的觀點。一些人認爲高淨資產收益率是高質量企業的好跡象。因此,您可能希望查看這裏提供的高淨資產收益率公司的免費集合,或者這裏持有高內部股權的股票列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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