Does Guangdong Goworld (SZSE:000823) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Does Guangdong Goworld (SZSE:000823) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Guangdong Goworld Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000823) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
一些人認爲波動性而非債務是投資者思考風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾 famously 說過:『波動性遠非與風險同義。』因此,在考慮任何給定股票的風險時,顯然需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務可能會讓公司沉沒。我們可以看到超聲電子有限公司(SZSE:000823)確實在其業務中使用債務。但股東應該爲其債務使用感到擔憂嗎?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務帶來了什麼風險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
一般來說,債務只有在公司無法輕鬆償還時才真正成問題,無論是通過籌集資本還是利用自身的自由現金流。如果情況真的變得很糟,貸款方可能會控制企業。然而,更常見(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低價發行股票,以永久性稀釋股東,僅僅爲了穩固其資產負債表。當然,債務可以成爲企業中一個重要的工具,特別是在資本密集型的業務中。當考慮公司的債務水平時,第一步是將其現金和債務一起考慮。
What Is Guangdong Goworld's Net Debt?
廣東超聲電子的淨債務是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Guangdong Goworld had debt of CN¥1.49b at the end of September 2024, a reduction from CN¥1.69b over a year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥1.81b in cash, so it actually has CN¥320.0m net cash.
下圖,您可以點擊以獲取更詳細的信息,顯示超聲電子在2024年9月底的債務爲14.9億人民幣,較一年前的16.9億人民幣有所減少。然而,其資產負債表顯示它擁有18.1億人民幣的現金,因此實際上它淨現金爲32000萬人民幣。
![big](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20241101/0-b809d9b762a4079bb565b364ab2be0ce-0-e3473be3dc1f41562cd1f71e1cba3f3e.png/big)
A Look At Guangdong Goworld's Liabilities
觀察超聲電子的負債情況
According to the last reported balance sheet, Guangdong Goworld had liabilities of CN¥1.86b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.20b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.81b and CN¥1.88b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥630.3m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
根據最近報告的資產負債表,超聲電子有CN¥18.6億的負債在12個月內到期,和CN¥12億的負債在12個月後到期。另一方面,它擁有CN¥18.1億的現金和CN¥18.8億的應收賬款在一年內到期。因此,它實際上擁有CN¥63030萬的流動資產超過總負債。
This short term liquidity is a sign that Guangdong Goworld could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Guangdong Goworld has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
這種短期流動性表明超聲電子很可能輕鬆償還債務,因爲其資產負債表並不緊張。簡而言之,超聲電子擁有的現金超過債務,這無疑是一個良好的跡象,表明它能夠安全管理其債務。
But the bad news is that Guangdong Goworld has seen its EBIT plunge 11% in the last twelve months. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Guangdong Goworld will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
但壞消息是,超聲電子的息稅前利潤(EBIT)在過去12個月中暴跌了11%。如果這種下降趨勢持續下去,該公司可能會陷入困境。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學習到最多的關於債務的信息。但你不能單獨看待債務,因爲超聲電子需要收入來償還這種債務。因此,在考慮債務時,查看盈利趨勢顯然是值得的。點擊這裏查看互動快照。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Guangdong Goworld has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Guangdong Goworld recorded free cash flow worth 57% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
最後,一家公司需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤是不夠的。雖然超聲電子在其資產負債表上擁有淨現金,但仍需關注其將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其在快速建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的能力。在最近三年中,超聲電子記錄的自由現金流佔其EBIT的57%,這是正常水平,因爲自由現金流不包括利息和稅。這種自由現金流使該公司在適當時可以良好地償還債務。
Summing Up
總結
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Guangdong Goworld has CN¥320.0m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we are not troubled with Guangdong Goworld's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Guangdong Goworld is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is potentially serious...
雖然研究一家公司的債務總是明智的,但在這種情況下,超聲電子擁有32000萬元的淨現金和一份看起來不錯的資產負債表。 因此,我們對於超聲電子的債務使用並不感到困擾。 在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的重點。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中——遠不是如此。 請注意,超聲電子在我們的投資分析中顯示出2個警告信號,其中一個可能是嚴重的...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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