Solid Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd (SZSE:300235)
Solid Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd (SZSE:300235)
The market for Shenzhen Kingsun Science & Technology Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:300235) stock was strong after it released a healthy earnings report last week. However, we think that shareholders should be cautious as we found some worrying factors underlying the profit.
深圳市金旭科技股份有限公司(SZSE:300235)的股票市場在上週發佈健康收益報告後表現強勁。然而,我們認爲股東應該保持謹慎,因爲我們發現了一些影響利潤的令人擔憂的因素。
A Closer Look At Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd's Earnings
深圳金旭科技股份有限公司盈利情況詳細分析
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
正如財務迷們已經知道的那樣,從現金流量的應計比率是一個判斷公司自由現金流(FCF)與盈利匹配情況的關鍵指標。應計比率是將某一段時間內的FCF從利潤中減去,然後將結果除以公司在那段時間內的平均營運資產。你可以將從現金流量中計算的應計比率看作「非FCF盈利比例」。
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
因此,負計提比率對公司而言是好事,而正計提比率則是壞事。雖然有正計提比率並不是問題,表明一定程度上有非現金利潤,但高計提比率可謂是壞事,因爲這表明鈔票利潤並未與現金流匹配。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,高計提比率通常是近期利潤的招負跡象。
Over the twelve months to September 2024, Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd recorded an accrual ratio of -0.10. That implies it has good cash conversion, and implies that its free cash flow solidly exceeded its profit last year. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥51m, well over the CN¥23.5m it reported in profit. Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
在截至2024年9月的十二個月內,深圳金旭科技股份有限公司記錄了-0.10的應計比率。這說明它具有良好的現金轉換能力,意味着其自由現金流在去年大幅超過了利潤。事實上,在過去的十二個月中,它報告了5100萬人民幣的自由現金流,遠遠超過2350萬人民幣的利潤。深圳金旭科技股份有限公司的自由現金流在過去一年中有所改善,這通常是一個好跡象。然而,還有更多需要考慮的地方。我們可以看到非常規項目影響了其法定利潤,因此影響了應計比率。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。請單擊此處,查看我們對深圳金旭科技股份有限公司資產負債表的分析。
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
非常規項目如何影響利潤?
Surprisingly, given Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd's accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by CN¥7.1m in unusual items. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. We can see that Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to September 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.
令人驚訝的是,深圳晶科科技有限公司的計提比率顯示出強勁的現金轉化,其虛假利潤實際上因非常規項目而增加了710萬人民幣。儘管利潤增加總是令人高興的,但有時來自非常規項目的大額貢獻會降低我們的熱情。當我們對成千上萬家上市公司進行數據分析時,我們發現給定年份的非常規項目增長往往在下一年不會重複。而且,這正是會計術語所暗示的。我們可以看到,深圳晶科科技有限公司在2024年9月的年度報告中,其正面非常規項目與利潤相比相當顯著。因此,我們可以推斷,非常規項目使其法定利潤比原本更強大。
Our Take On Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd's Profit Performance
我們對深圳晶科科技有限公司的盈利表現的看法
Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd's profits got a boost from unusual items, which indicates they might not be sustained and yet its accrual ratio still indicated solid cash conversion, which is promising. Having considered these factors, we don't think Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd's statutory profits give an overly harsh view of the business. If you want to do dive deeper into Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd you should be mindful of and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.
深圳晶科科技有限公司的利潤得到來自非常規項目的提振,這表明這些利潤可能無法持續,但其計提比率仍顯示出可靠的現金轉化,這是令人鼓舞的。考慮到這些因素,我們認爲深圳晶科科技有限公司的法定利潤並沒有對業務產生過分嚴苛的看法。如果您想深入了解深圳晶科科技有限公司,還需研究其當前面臨的風險。例如:我們已發現深圳晶科科技有限公司存在3個警告信號,您應該注意其中1個讓我們有些不安。
Our examination of Shenzhen Kingsun Science & TechnologyLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
我們對深圳晶科科技有限公司的調查集中在某些因素上,可以使其盈利看起來比實際情況更好。但如果您能專注於細枝末節,總是會有更多發現。有些人認爲高股本回報率是質量企業的好跡象。因此,您可能希望查看這些股本回報率高的公司免費收集,或這些高內部所有權股票清單。
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