share_log

Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd's (SZSE:300407) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd's (SZSE:300407) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

天津科維亞電氣股份有限公司(SZSE:300407)的股東不僅需要擔心業績下滑
Simply Wall St ·  10/31 19:23

Tianjin Keyvia Electric Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:300407) recent weak earnings report didn't cause a big stock movement. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers.

天津凱威電氣有限公司, Ltd(深圳證券交易所代碼:300407)最近疲軟的收益報告並未導致股市大幅波動。我們的分析表明,除了疲軟的利潤數字外,投資者還應意識到這些數字中的其他一些潛在弱點。

big
SZSE:300407 Earnings and Revenue History October 31st 2024
SZSE: 300407 2024 年 10 月 31 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

Zooming In On Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd's Earnings

放大天津凱威電氣有限公司的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

在高金融領域,用於衡量公司將申報的利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的效果的關鍵比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。簡而言之,該比率從淨利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以公司在此期間的平均運營資產。你可以將現金流的應計比率視爲 「非FCF利潤率」。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,負應計比率對公司來說是正數,而正應計比率是負數。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率爲正,但值得注意的是,應計比率相當高的地方。這是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計率往往會導致利潤下降或利潤增長減弱。

Over the twelve months to September 2024, Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd recorded an accrual ratio of -0.13. That implies it has good cash conversion, and implies that its free cash flow solidly exceeded its profit last year. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥265m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥93.3m. Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

在截至2024年9月的十二個月中,天津凱威電氣有限公司的應計比率爲-0.13。這意味着它具有良好的現金轉化率,也意味着其去年的自由現金流穩步超過了利潤。換句話說,它在此期間產生的自由現金流爲26500萬元人民幣,與其報告的9330萬元利潤相形見絀。天津凱威電氣有限公司的自由現金流比去年有所改善,總體而言,這是值得期待的。話雖如此,故事還有更多。應計比率至少部分反映了不尋常項目對法定利潤的影響。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對天津凱威電氣有限公司的資產負債表分析

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不尋常的物品如何影響利潤?

Surprisingly, given Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd's accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by CN¥27m in unusual items. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to September 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

令人驚訝的是,鑑於天津凱威電氣有限公司的應計比率意味着強勁的現金轉換,其票面利潤實際上是由2700萬元人民幣的不尋常項目提振的。我們不能否認更高的利潤通常會讓我們感到樂觀,但如果利潤是可持續的,我們更願意這樣做。我們統計了全球大多數上市公司的數字,不尋常的物品在自然界中很常見。考慮到這個名字,這並不奇怪。天津凱威電氣有限公司截至2024年9月的不尋常項目對其利潤做出了相當大的貢獻。在其他條件相同的情況下,這可能會使法定利潤成爲衡量潛在盈利能力的不良指導。

Our Take On Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd's Profit Performance

我們對天津凱威電氣有限公司盈利表現的看法

Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd's profits got a boost from unusual items, which indicates they might not be sustained and yet its accrual ratio still indicated solid cash conversion, which is promising. Based on these factors, we think it's very unlikely that Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd's statutory profits make it seem much weaker than it is. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 4 warning signs with Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

天津凱威電氣有限公司的利潤因不尋常的項目而得到提振,這表明這些利潤可能無法持續下去,但其應計比率仍然顯示出穩健的現金轉換,這令人鼓舞。基於這些因素,我們認爲天津凱威電氣有限公司的法定利潤使其看起來比現在疲軟得多的可能性很小。考慮到這一點,除非我們對風險有透徹的了解,否則我們不會考慮投資股票。在投資風險方面,我們已經與天津凱威電氣有限公司確定了4個警告信號,了解這些信號應該是您投資過程的一部分。

Our examination of Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

我們對天津凱威電氣有限公司的審查側重於某些可能使其收益看起來好於實際的因素。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多的事情需要發現。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 「關注資金」,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到這份擁有高股本回報率的公司的免費集合,或者這份內部所有權高的股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?直接聯繫我們。或者,發送電子郵件給編輯組(網址爲)simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論