Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past Qingdao Topscomm Communication's (SHSE:603421) Soft Earnings
Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past Qingdao Topscomm Communication's (SHSE:603421) Soft Earnings
Soft earnings didn't appear to concern Qingdao Topscomm Communication INC.'s (SHSE:603421) shareholders over the last week. We think that the softer headline numbers might be getting counterbalanced by some positive underlying factors.
上海證券交易所股票代碼爲603421的青島拓斯康通信公司(Qingdao Topscomm Communication INC.)的盈利狀況似乎並沒有引起股東們的擔憂。我們認爲,較軟的主要數據可能正受到一些積極的基本因素的抵消。
Examining Cashflow Against Qingdao Topscomm Communication's Earnings
審查青島拓斯康通信公司的現金流與盈利情況。
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
正如財務迷們已經知道的那樣,從現金流量的應計比率是一個判斷公司自由現金流(FCF)與盈利匹配情況的關鍵指標。應計比率是將某一段時間內的FCF從利潤中減去,然後將結果除以公司在那段時間內的平均營運資產。你可以將從現金流量中計算的應計比率看作「非FCF盈利比例」。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
因此,當公司的應計比率爲負時,實際上是一件好事,但如果其應計比率爲正,則是一件壞事。雖然應計比率爲零以上的事情無關緊要,但我們認爲當公司的應計比率相對較高時,值得注意。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文:「應計越高的公司未來利潤率越低」。
Qingdao Topscomm Communication has an accrual ratio of -0.11 for the year to September 2024. That implies it has good cash conversion, and implies that its free cash flow solidly exceeded its profit last year. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥452m, well over the CN¥49.0m it reported in profit. Notably, Qingdao Topscomm Communication had negative free cash flow last year, so the CN¥452m it produced this year was a welcome improvement. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
青島拓斯康通信公司截至2024年9月的年度應計比率爲-0.11。這意味着它有良好的現金轉換率,並暗示其自由現金流在去年明顯超過了利潤。事實上,在過去的12個月中,其報告的自由現金流爲人民幣45200萬,遠遠超過其報告的利潤4900萬人民幣。值得注意的是,青島拓斯康通信公司去年的自由現金流爲負,因此今年產生的45200萬人民幣是一個受歡迎的改善。然而,要考慮的並不僅僅如此。我們可以看到,不尋常的項目影響了其法定盈利,因此影響了應計比率。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Qingdao Topscomm Communication.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊這裏查看我們對青島拓斯康通信公司資產負債表的分析。
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
除了稀釋之外,還應該注意的是,萬集科技在過去12個月中因不尋常項目獲得了價值人民幣3.5萬元的利潤。雖然我們希望看到利潤增加,但當這些不尋常項目對利潤做出重大貢獻時,我們會更加謹慎。我們對全球大部分上市公司的數據進行了分析,發現不尋常項目往往是一次性的。這正如我們所期望的那樣,因爲這些提升被描述爲"不尋常"。相對於其利潤而言,萬集科技在2021年12月前的不尋常項目貢獻大。因此,我們可以推斷出,這些不尋常項目正在使其財務利潤顯著增強。
Qingdao Topscomm Communication's profit was reduced by unusual items worth CN¥99m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. In a scenario where those unusual items included non-cash charges, we'd expect to see a strong accrual ratio, which is exactly what has happened in this case. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. In the twelve months to September 2024, Qingdao Topscomm Communication had a big unusual items expense. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items made its statutory profit significantly weaker than it would otherwise be.
青島通信的飛凡物品使其過去十二個月的利潤減少了價值爲9900萬元人民幣,並且這有助於它產生高現金轉換率,正如其飛凡物品所反映的那樣。在這種情況下,如果這些飛凡物品包括非現金費用,我們預計會看到較強的應計比率,而這正是在本例中發生的情況。看到飛凡物品使公司利潤減少從來都不是件好事,但好消息是,事情可能會比以往更快得到改善。當我們分析全球大多數上市公司時,發現重要的飛凡物品經常不會重複出現。考慮到這些科目被認爲是飛凡的,這一點幾乎並不令人驚訝。在2024年9月的十二個月內,青島通信出現了大額的飛凡物品支出。因此,我們可以推斷這些飛凡物品使其法定利潤顯著弱於其本應該是的水平。
Our Take On Qingdao Topscomm Communication's Profit Performance
我們對青島通信的利潤表現的看法
In conclusion, both Qingdao Topscomm Communication's accrual ratio and its unusual items suggest that its statutory earnings are probably reasonably conservative. After considering all this, we reckon Qingdao Topscomm Communication's statutory profit probably understates its earnings potential! In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for Qingdao Topscomm Communication (of which 1 is potentially serious!) you should know about.
總的來說,青島通信的應計比率和其飛凡物品表明其法定收益可能相當保守。在考慮所有這些因素之後,我們認爲青島通信的法定利潤可能低估了其盈利潛力!基於此,如果您想對該公司進行更多分析,了解涉及的風險非常重要。每家公司都存在風險,我們已經發現了青島通信存在5個警示信號(其中1個可能非常嚴重!)您應該了解。
After our examination into the nature of Qingdao Topscomm Communication's profit, we've come away optimistic for the company. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
在我們對青島通信的利潤性質進行調查後,我們對該公司充滿樂觀。但如果您能專注於細節,總能發現更多。有些人認爲高淨資產回報率是優質企業的良好跡象。雖然這可能需要您進行一些研究,您可能會發現這個收集了高淨資產回報率公司的免費列表,或者這個持有重要內部持股的股票列表會對您有所幫助。
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