Should Weakness in Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002048) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?
Should Weakness in Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002048) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?
With its stock down 12% over the past month, it is easy to disregard Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic (SZSE:002048). However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic's ROE today.
股票在過去一個月下跌了12%,很容易忽視寧波華翔電子(SZSE:002048)。然而,股價通常受公司的長期財務狀況驅動,在這種情況下看起來相當可觀。特別是,我們將關注寧波華翔電子今天的roe。
Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.
股東要考慮的關鍵因素之一是淨資產收益率或roe,因爲它告訴他們公司如何有效地重新投資他們的資本。簡單點說,它衡量了公司與股東權益相關的盈利能力。
How Is ROE Calculated?
淨資產收益率怎麼計算?
The formula for ROE is:
roe的公式是:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營) ÷ 股東權益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic is:
因此,根據上述公式,寧波華翔電子的roe是:
10% = CN¥1.3b ÷ CN¥13b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
10% = 130億人民幣 ÷ 13億人民幣(基於截至2024年9月的最近十二個月)。
The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.10.
「回報」是企業在過去一年內賺取的利潤。這意味着,針對每個股東的1元投資,該公司將產生0.10元的利潤。
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
ROE爲什麼對淨利潤增長很重要?
We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.
我們已經意識到,ROE作爲公司未來盈利的有效衡量值。根據公司重新投資或「保留」這些利潤的程度,以及公司有效地運用這些利潤的程度,我們就能評估公司的盈利增長潛力。假設其他所有因素保持不變,ROE和利潤保留越高,增長率就會越高,相比於沒有這些特點的公司,公司的增長率就會更高。
Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic's Earnings Growth And 10% ROE
寧波華翔電子的盈利增長和10%的roe
On the face of it, Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic's ROE is not much to talk about. However, the fact that the company's ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 8.2%, is definitely interesting. However, Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic has seen a flattish net income growth over the past five years, which is not saying much. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. Therefore, the low to flat growth in earnings could also be the result of this.
乍一看,寧波華翔電子的roe並沒有太多值得討論的地方。然而,公司的roe高於8.2%的行業平均roe,確實很有趣。然而,過去五年寧波華翔電子的淨利潤增長相對平穩,這並不能說明什麼。請記住,公司的roe起點有點低,只是高於行業平均水平。因此,盈利增長的低迷可能也是這個結果。
Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 9.1% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.
接下來,與行業淨利潤增長相比,我們發現寧波華翔電子報告的增長低於過去幾年9.1%的行業增長,這並不是我們願意看到的。
Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.
盈利增長在股票估值中是一個重要因素。投資者需要判斷的下一個問題是,預期盈利增長已經融入股價,或者尚未融入股價。這樣做將幫助他們判斷股票未來是光明還是黯淡。預期盈利增長的一個很好指標是市盈率,它根據盈利前景決定市場願意爲一隻股票支付的價格。因此,您可能想要檢查一下寧波華翔是否以較高或較低的市盈率交易,相對於其所屬行業板塊。
Is Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?
寧波華翔是否有效利用留存收益?
Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 49% (implying that the company keeps 51% of its income) over the last three years, Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic has seen a negligible amount of growth in earnings as we saw above. Therefore, there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.
儘管在過去三年中,寧波華翔的正常三年中位數分紅比率爲49%(暗示公司留下了其收入的51%),如上所述,寧波華翔的盈利增長微乎其微。因此,可能有其他原因解釋這方面的不足。例如,業務可能正在下滑。
Moreover, Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 46% of its profits over the next three years. Accordingly, forecasts suggest that Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic's future ROE will be 11% which is again, similar to the current ROE.
此外,寧波華翔至少持續支付分紅十年以上,表明管理層可能認爲股東更傾向於分紅而不是盈利增長。在研究最新的分析師一致數據時,我們發現公司預計在接下來的三年裏將繼續支付約46%的利潤。因此,預測顯示寧波華翔未來的roe將達到11%,與當前roe相似。
Conclusion
結論
On the whole, we do feel that Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic has some positive attributes. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a moderate ROE and and a high reinvestment rate. We believe that there might be some outside factors that could be having a negative impact on the business. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.
總的來看,我們確實認爲寧波華翔電子具有一些積極的特點。儘管在適度的roe和高再投資率的情況下,我們對盈利的增長缺乏失望,我們認爲可能有一些外部因素可能對業務產生負面影響。鑑於此,最新的分析師預測顯示該公司的盈利將繼續擴大。這些分析師的預期是基於行業的整體預期,還是基於公司的基本面?單擊此處查看我們公司分析師的預測頁面。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。