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China Transinfo Technology Co., Ltd (SZSE:002373) Third-Quarter Results Just Came Out: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Next Year

China Transinfo Technology Co., Ltd (SZSE:002373) Third-Quarter Results Just Came Out: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Next Year

千方科技股份有限公司(SZSE:002373)剛剛發佈了第三季度業績:分析師對明年的預測是什麼
Simply Wall St ·  11/01 07:38

It's been a good week for China Transinfo Technology Co., Ltd (SZSE:002373) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest third-quarter results, and the shares gained 4.6% to CN¥10.28. China Transinfo Technology's revenues suffered a miss, falling 13% short of forecasts, at CN¥1.8b. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) however performed much better, reaching break-even. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

對於中國千方科技股份有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002373)的股東來說,這是美好的一週,因爲該公司剛剛發佈了最新的第三季度業績,股價上漲了4.6%,至10.28元人民幣。中國千方科技的收入不佳,比預期下降了13%,至18元人民幣。但是,法定每股收益(EPS)的表現要好得多,達到了盈虧平衡。對於投資者來說,盈利是一個重要時刻,因爲他們可以追蹤公司的業績,查看分析師對明年的預測,看看對公司的情緒是否發生了變化。考慮到這一點,我們收集了最新的法定預測,以了解分析師對明年的預期。

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SZSE:002373 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 31st 2024
SZSE: 002373 2024 年 10 月 31 日收益和收入增長

Following the latest results, China Transinfo Technology's seven analysts are now forecasting revenues of CN¥9.99b in 2025. This would be a sizeable 26% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to jump 161% to CN¥0.39. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥10.0b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.39 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

根據最新業績,中國千方科技的七位分析師現在預測2025年的收入爲99.9元人民幣。與過去12個月相比,這將使收入大幅增長26%。每股收益預計將增長161%,至0.39元人民幣。在本業績發佈之前,分析師一直預測2025年收入爲100元人民幣,每股收益(EPS)爲0.39元人民幣。因此,很明顯,儘管分析師已經更新了估計,但在最新業績公佈後,對該業務的預期沒有重大變化。

There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of CN¥9.71, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. There are some variant perceptions on China Transinfo Technology, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥13.00 and the most bearish at CN¥5.10 per share. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.

收入或收益預期或9.71元人民幣的目標股價沒有變化,這表明該公司在最近的業績中達到了預期。共識目標股價只是個別分析師目標的平均值,因此——可以很方便地看到基礎估計值的範圍有多廣。對中國千方科技的看法有所不同,最看漲的分析師將其估值爲13.00元人民幣,最看跌的爲每股5.10元人民幣。注意到分析師目標股價的巨大差距了嗎?對我們來說,這意味着基礎業務存在相當廣泛的可能情景。

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. For example, we noticed that China Transinfo Technology's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with revenues forecast to exhibit 20% growth to the end of 2025 on an annualised basis. That is well above its historical decline of 4.1% a year over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 15% per year. Not only are China Transinfo Technology's revenues expected to improve, it seems that the analysts are also expecting it to grow faster than the wider industry.

了解這些預測的更多背景信息的一種方法是研究它們與過去的業績相比如何,以及同一行業中其他公司的表現。例如,我們注意到,中國千方科技的增長率預計將大幅加快,預計到2025年底,收入按年計算將實現20%的增長。這遠高於其在過去五年中每年4.1%的歷史下降幅度。相比之下,我們的數據表明,預計該行業的其他公司(有分析師報道)的收入每年將增長15%。中國千方科技的收入不僅有望改善,而且分析師似乎也預計其增長速度將超過整個行業。

The Bottom Line

底線

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at CN¥9.71, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

最明顯的結論是,該業務的前景最近沒有重大變化,分析師的收益預測保持穩定,與先前的估計一致。令人高興的是,收入預測沒有重大變化,預計該業務的增長速度仍將快於整個行業。共識目標股價穩定在9.71元人民幣,最新估計不足以對其目標價格產生影響。

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for China Transinfo Technology going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

考慮到這一點,我們仍然認爲該業務的長期發展軌跡對於投資者來說更爲重要。我們對中國千方科技的預測將持續到2026年,你可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

You can also see our analysis of China Transinfo Technology's Board and CEO remuneration and experience, and whether company insiders have been buying stock.

您還可以看到我們對中國千方科技董事會和首席執行官薪酬和經驗的分析,以及公司內部人士是否一直在購買股票。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall ST 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

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