share_log

China Nonferrous Mining (HKG:1258) Could Easily Take On More Debt

China Nonferrous Mining (HKG:1258) Could Easily Take On More Debt

中國有色礦業(HKG:1258)很容易承擔更多債務。
Simply Wall St ·  2024/10/31 18:57

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that China Nonferrous Mining Corporation Limited (HKG:1258) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

霍華德·馬克斯說得很好,與其擔心股價波動,『永久性損失的可能性才是我擔心的風險...我認識的每一個實踐投資者都在擔心這個。』因此,明智的資金知道,債務(通常與破產有關)是評估公司風險時非常重要的因素。我們可以看到中國有色礦業股份有限公司(HKG:1258)的業務確實使用債務。但這種債務是否令股東擔憂?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

債務在企業有困難償還之前支持企業,可以通過新增資本或自由現金流來償還。資本主義的一部分是「創造性破壞」的過程,在這個過程中,倒閉的企業會被它們的銀行無情地清算。雖然這種情況不太常見,我們經常看到受債務困擾的企業因爲借款人迫使它們以頹售價籌集資本而永久稀釋股東。當然,債務可能是企業中的重要工具,尤其是資本密集型企業。在考慮一家公司的債務水平時的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。

What Is China Nonferrous Mining's Debt?

中國有色礦業的債務是什麼?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that China Nonferrous Mining had debt of US$160.7m at the end of June 2024, a reduction from US$482.9m over a year. However, it does have US$1.04b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of US$877.1m.

下面的圖片(點擊可放大查看)顯示,中國有色礦業在2024年6月底的債務爲16070萬元美元,比一年前的48290萬元美元有所減少。然而,該公司擁有10.4億美元的現金抵消這一部分債務,導致淨現金爲87710萬元美元。

big
SEHK:1258 Debt to Equity History October 31st 2024
SEHK:1258債務佔股東權益比歷史數據是2024年10月31日

How Healthy Is China Nonferrous Mining's Balance Sheet?

中國有色礦業的資產負債表健康狀況如何?

According to the last reported balance sheet, China Nonferrous Mining had liabilities of US$1.18b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$219.9m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$1.04b as well as receivables valued at US$539.2m due within 12 months. So it can boast US$181.1m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根據最近公佈的資產負債表,中國有色礦業的負債中有11.8億美元在12個月內到期,21990萬美元在12個月後到期。 抵消這些義務,其現金爲10.4億美元,應收賬款價值53920萬美元在12個月內到期。 因此,其比總負債多出18110萬美元的流動資產。

This short term liquidity is a sign that China Nonferrous Mining could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, China Nonferrous Mining boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

這種短期流動性表明,中國有色礦業可能很容易償還債務,因爲其資產負債表遠非過分緊張。簡而言之,中國有色礦業擁有淨現金,所以可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

Another good sign is that China Nonferrous Mining has been able to increase its EBIT by 29% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if China Nonferrous Mining can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

另一個好跡象是,中國有色礦業在十二個月內成功將EBIt增加了29%,這讓償還債務變得更加容易。當您分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的區域。但最終業務的未來盈利能力將決定中國有色礦業是否能隨時間加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您關注未來,可以查看這份免費報告,顯示分析師的盈利預測。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While China Nonferrous Mining has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, China Nonferrous Mining produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 75% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最後,一家公司只能用硬通貨現金償還債務,而不是會計利潤。雖然中國有色礦業的資產負債表上有淨現金,但值得一看的是其將EBIT轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度。 在過去的三年中,中國有色礦業產生了穩固的自由現金流,相當於其EBIt的75%,這正是我們預期的。 這份自由現金流使公司有能力在適當時期償還債務。

Summing Up

總之

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case China Nonferrous Mining has US$877.1m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 29% over the last year. So is China Nonferrous Mining's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with China Nonferrous Mining , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

雖然調查一家公司的債務通常是明智的,但在這種情況下,中國有色礦業的淨現金爲87710萬美元,資產負債表看起來不錯。去年的EBIt增長達到了29%,給我們留下了深刻印象。那麼,中國有色礦業的債務風險如何?在我們看來似乎並非如此。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表內 - 相反,我們已經識別出中國有色礦業的2個警告信號,了解它們應該成爲您投資過程的一部分。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論