China Fortune Land Development (SHSE:600340) Shareholders Are up 49% This Past Week, but Still in the Red Over the Last Five Years
China Fortune Land Development (SHSE:600340) Shareholders Are up 49% This Past Week, but Still in the Red Over the Last Five Years
It is a pleasure to report that the China Fortune Land Development Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600340) is up 113% in the last quarter. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last half decade have been stomach churning. In fact, the share price has tumbled down a mountain to land 90% lower after that period. The recent bounce might mean the long decline is over, but we are not confident. The real question is whether the business can leave its past behind and improve itself over the years ahead. We really feel for shareholders in this scenario. It's a good reminder of the importance of diversification, and it's worth keeping in mind there's more to life than money, anyway.
很高興向大家報告,華夏幸福(SHSE:600340)上漲了113%,並且持續了一個季度。 但是這並不改變過去五年回報令人感到不安的事實。 實際上,股價在那段時間後下跌了90%。 最近的反彈可能意味着長期下跌已經結束,但我們並不太有信心。 真正的問題是業務是否能拋開過去,改善其未來的幾年。 我們對股東在這種情況下感到非常遺憾。 這很好地提醒了分散投資的重要性,並且值得記住生活中不僅僅是金錢。
On a more encouraging note the company has added CN¥2.9b to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the five-year loss for shareholders.
更令人鼓舞的是,公司在過去7天內市值增加了29億人民幣,因此讓我們看看是否能夠判斷是什麼導致了股東的五年虧損。
China Fortune Land Development isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.
華夏幸福目前沒有盈利,因此大多數分析師會查看營業收入增長,以了解基礎業務增長速度。 一般來說,預期無利潤的公司每年都會增長營收,並且速度較快。 正如您可以想象的,保持快速的營收增長通常會導致快速的利潤增長。
Over half a decade China Fortune Land Development reduced its trailing twelve month revenue by 32% for each year. That puts it in an unattractive cohort, to put it mildly. So it's not altogether surprising to see the share price down 14% per year in the same time period. This kind of price performance makes us very wary, especially when combined with falling revenue. Of course, the poor performance could mean the market has been too severe selling down. That can happen.
在半個世紀的時間裏,華夏幸福每年將其最近12個月的營業收入減少32%。 這使其處於一個不太吸引人的隊列中,委婉地說。 因此,在同一時期,股價每年下跌14%並不奇怪。 這種價格表現使我們非常謹慎,特別是當與營收下降相結合時。 當然,糟糕的表現可能意味着市場過於嚴厲地拋售。 這種情況是有可能發生的。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下圖顯示了收益和營收隨時間變化的情況(如果你點擊圖像,可以看到更多細節):
This free interactive report on China Fortune Land Development's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
這份免費的互動報告關於華夏幸福的資產負債表實力是一個很好的起點,如果你想進一步調查這支股票。
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
It's nice to see that China Fortune Land Development shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 23% over the last year. Notably the five-year annualised TSR loss of 14% per year compares very unfavourably with the recent share price performance. The long term loss makes us cautious, but the short term TSR gain certainly hints at a brighter future. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with China Fortune Land Development (including 2 which are concerning) .
很高興看到華夏幸福的股東在過去一年裏獲得了總股東回報率達23%。尤其是過去五年的年度總股東回報率每年下跌14%,與最近股價表現相比非常不利。長期虧損使我們謹慎,但短期總股東回報的增長確實暗示着更光明的未來。我覺得長期觀察股價作爲業務表現的一種替代方式非常有趣。但要真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。因此,你應該了解我們發現的有關華夏幸福的3個警示信號(其中2個令人擔憂)。
Of course China Fortune Land Development may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
當然,華夏幸福可能不是最佳的購買股票。因此,你可能希望查看這些免費的增長股集合。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。