China Television Media, Ltd.'s (SHSE:600088) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing
China Television Media, Ltd.'s (SHSE:600088) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing
There wouldn't be many who think China Television Media, Ltd.'s (SHSE:600088) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6.8x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Entertainment industry in China is very similar. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
What Does China Television Media's Recent Performance Look Like?
For example, consider that China Television Media's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on China Television Media will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is China Television Media's Revenue Growth Trending?
China Television Media's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 6.7%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 15% in total. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 32% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this information, we find it interesting that China Television Media is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Final Word
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that China Television Media's average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's hard to accept the current share price as fair value.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for China Television Media with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on China Television Media, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.