Is There Now An Opportunity In SolarWinds Corporation (NYSE:SWI)?
Is There Now An Opportunity In SolarWinds Corporation (NYSE:SWI)?
SolarWinds Corporation (NYSE:SWI), is not the largest company out there, but it led the NYSE gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. The company's trading levels have reached its high for the past year, following the recent bounce in the share price. As a mid-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company's outlook is already priced into the stock. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Let's examine SolarWinds's valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there's still a bargain opportunity.
SolarWinds 公司(紐交所: SWI)雖然不是最大的公司,但在過去幾周卻引領紐交所漲幅最大,股價相對大幅上漲。公司的交易水平已達到過去一年的高點,跟隨股價最近反彈。作爲一個受到分析師高度關注的中等市值股,你可以假設公司前景的任何變化已經被股價所反映。然而,股票仍可能以相對便宜的價格交易嗎?讓我們更詳細地審查 SolarWinds 的估值和前景,以確定是否存在購入便宜股票的機會。
What Is SolarWinds Worth?
SolarWinds 價值是多少?
According to our price multiple model, where we compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average, the stock currently looks expensive. We've used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there's not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock's ratio of 57.32x is currently well-above the industry average of 38.51x, meaning that it is trading at a more expensive price relative to its peers. In addition to this, it seems like SolarWinds's share price is quite stable, which could mean two things: firstly, it may take the share price a while to fall back down to an attractive buying range, and secondly, there may be less chances to buy low in the future once it reaches that value. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.
根據我們的價格倍數模型,通過將公司市盈率與行業平均值進行比較,目前該股票看起來相對昂貴。我們在這種情況下使用市盈率,因爲沒有足夠的可見度來預測其現金流。目前市盈率爲57.32倍,遠高於行業平均值38.51倍,意味着它相對於同行股交易價格更昂貴。除此之外,SolarWinds 的股價似乎相當穩定,這可能意味着兩件事:首先,股價可能需要一段時間才會回落到一個吸引人的購買區間,其次,一旦達到該價值,未來買入的機會可能較少。這是因爲相比整體市場,該股的貝塔值較低,波動性較小。
What kind of growth will SolarWinds generate?
SolarWinds 將會生成怎樣的增長?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let's also take a look at the company's future expectations. Though in the case of SolarWinds, it is expected to deliver a relatively unexciting top-line growth of 8.4% in the next few years, which doesn't help build up its investment thesis. Growth doesn't appear to be a main reason for a buy decision for the company, at least in the near term.
投資者在投資組合中尋找增長的機會之前,可能會想考慮一家公司的前景。以優惠的價格買入前景良好的公司一直是一個不錯的投資選擇,因此讓我們也看一下公司的未來預期。雖然在 SolarWinds 的情況下,預計未來幾年內其銷售額增長將相對乏味,僅爲8.4%,這並沒有幫助支撐其投資論點。增長似乎不是公司購買決策的主要原因,至少在短期內是這樣。
What This Means For You
這對你意味着什麼
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in SWI's outlook, with shares trading above industry price multiples. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe SWI should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
您是股東嗎?市場似乎已經充分地反映了SWI的前景,股票交易價格高於行業價格倍數。然而,這帶來另一個問題 - 現在是賣出的正確時機嗎?如果您認爲SWI應該以低於當前價格的價格交易,那麼在其價格下跌至行業市盈率附近時高價賣出並再次買入可能是有利可圖的。但在做出這個決定之前,請看看它的基本面是否發生了變化。
Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping an eye on SWI for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the positive growth outlook may mean it's worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
您是潛在投資者嗎?如果您一直關注SWI一段時間,現在可能不是進入股票的最佳時機。價格已經超過了行業同行,這意味着很可能沒有更多的錯價上漲空間。然而,積極的增長前景可能意味着值得更深入地研究其他因素,以利用下一輪價格下跌。
So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing SolarWinds at this point in time. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for SolarWinds (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be familiar with.
因此,儘管收益質量很重要,但在這一時期考慮SolarWinds面臨的風險也同樣重要。例如,我們已經確定了SolarWinds的3個警示信號(其中有1個不太符合我們的預期),您應該熟悉這些。
If you are no longer interested in SolarWinds, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
如果您對SolarWinds不再感興趣,您可以使用我們的免費平台查看我們的另外50多隻具有高增長潛力的股票列表。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。