Hisense Home Appliances Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000921) Third-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Next Year
Hisense Home Appliances Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000921) Third-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Next Year
Hisense Home Appliances Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000921) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 4.2% to CN¥28.03 in the week after its latest third-quarter results. It was a credible result overall, with revenues of CN¥22b and statutory earnings per share of CN¥0.57 both in line with analyst estimates, showing that Hisense Home Appliances Group is executing in line with expectations. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.
海信家電股份有限公司(SZSE:000921)的股東可能會感到有點失望,因爲其股價在最新第三季度業績公佈後的一週下跌了4.2%,跌至28.03人民幣。整體而言,這是一個可靠的業績,營業收入爲220億元,每股收益爲0.57元,與分析師預期一致,顯示海信家電股份有限公司正在按照預期執行。在公佈業績後,分析師已更新了他們的盈利模型,了解他們是否認爲公司前景發生了強烈變化,還是一切如常將是很重要的。因此,我們收集了最新的業績後預測,以了解分析師對明年的估計。
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Following the latest results, Hisense Home Appliances Group's 14 analysts are now forecasting revenues of CN¥103.1b in 2025. This would be a solid 13% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to expand 18% to CN¥2.75. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥103.5b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥2.76 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.
根據最新的結果,海信家電股份有限公司的14位分析師預測2025年營業收入將達到1031億元。這相對於過去12個月的收入將增長13%。每股收益預計將增長18%,達到2.75元。在此次盈利公告之前,分析師預計2025年營業收入爲1035億元,每股收益爲2.76元。共識分析師似乎沒有從這些結果中看到任何能改變他們對業務的看法,因爲他們的預測並沒有發生重大變化。
It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at CN¥35.90. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Hisense Home Appliances Group at CN¥40.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥32.00. The narrow spread of estimates could suggest that the business' future is relatively easy to value, or thatthe analysts have a strong view on its prospects.
因此並不奇怪,了解到共識目標價格基本保持在35.90元。不過,還有另一種考慮價格目標的方式,那就是查看分析師提出的價格目標範圍,因爲廣泛的估算範圍可能代表着對企業可能結果的不同看法。目前,最看好的分析師認爲海信家電股份有限公司每股價值40.00元,而最看淡的認爲每股價值32.00元。較窄的估值範圍可能意味着業務的未來相對容易估值,或者分析師對其前景有着強烈看法。
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Hisense Home Appliances Group's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 10% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 18% over the past five years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 8.6% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it looks like Hisense Home Appliances Group is forecast to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry.
當然,觀察這些預測的另一種方式是將其放入行業背景中進行對比。很明顯,預計海信家電股的營業收入增長將大幅放緩,到2025年底預計年均增長率爲10%。這與過去五年18%的歷史增長率相比。將其與行業中其他接受分析師覆蓋的公司相比,預計這些公司的營業收入(總體上)將每年增長8.6%。考慮到增長放緩的預測,看起來海信家電股的增長速度預計與整個行業差不多。
The Bottom Line
最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。
The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Happily, there were no real changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow in line with the overall industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
最重要的是,沒有明顯的情緒變化,分析師重新確認公司的每股收益估算與之前的估算相符。令人欣慰的是,營業收入預測沒有明顯變化,公司仍然預計與整個行業一同增長。共識價值目標沒有實質性的變化,表明業務的內在價值在最新的估算中沒有經歷任何重大變化。
Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Hisense Home Appliances Group going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..
在繼續這種思路後,我們認爲企業的長期前景比明年的收入更爲重要。在Simply Wall St,我們對海信家電股截至2026年的完整一系列分析師預估,您可以在我們的平台上免費查看。
However, before you get too enthused, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Hisense Home Appliances Group that you should be aware of.
然而,在你過於興奮之前,我們發現了一個海信家電股的警告信號,您應該注意。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。